NextPlat Corp (NXPL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$8.30 -2.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.25

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $22.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.25 (-0.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE NXPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NXPL SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$9.00+5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$9.50-10.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$8.50-2.4% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$8.30-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXPL currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.03) and Max Pain ($8.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NXPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.04 Expected Swing
$7.26 (-12.5%)Spot $8.30$9.34 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NXPL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 27/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (27/100)Model Risk Weight (73/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$54.3M-$10.5K-$6.2M20.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$66.1M-$22.5K-$5.7M25.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$12.4K-$3.6M20.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXPL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NXPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NXPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.89%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $8.39H $8.79L $7.91C $8.30VOL 25.3K
RES: $9.83SUP: $6.34SMA50: $9.03SMA200: $6.82
$10.27$8.89$7.51$6.13$4.75RES $9.83SUP $6.34$8.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXPL)

Communication Services Rank #128 of 132 ⚔️ UTSI vs NXPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NXPL vs. UTSI, SNT, KSCP, IQST)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextPlat Corp (NXPL) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #114 by equity capitalization ($22.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNT leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while SNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 65.5% gross margin. SNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NXPL at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXPL ACTIVE
NextPlat Corp
E 27/100 — 20.1% -35.0% -2.35% $22.5M Benchmark Subject
UTSI
UTStarcom Holdings Corp.
D- 40/100 — 11.7% -35.0% +0.45% $21.1M /utsi-vs-nxpl →
SNT
Senstar Technologies Corporation
D+ 55/100 12.0x 65.5% 11.4% +2.48% $38.5M /snt-vs-nxpl →
KSCP
Knightscope Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -1.92% $12.0M /kscp-vs-nxpl →
IQST
iQSTEL Inc.
D 51/100 — 3.0% -23.7% -0.13% $9.7M /iqst-vs-nxpl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001058307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextPlat Corp (NXPL) reported GAAP revenue of $54.3M (-17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$10.5K, operating cash flow of -$6.1M, and free cash flow of -$6.2M (-9.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXPL closed FY2025 with $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $54.3M -$10.5K -$6.1M -$6.2M $27.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $66.1M -$22.5K -$5.5M -$5.7M $37.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$12.4K -$3.6M -$3.6M — —

3. NXPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $8.30 (-2.35% 1D, market cap $22.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $38.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPL last traded at $8.30 (-2.35% on volume of 10,115 shares), positioning the stock -8.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.03) and +21.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.82). Across its 52-week range of $3.40 to $9.94, NXPL sits at the 74.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.26 to $9.34).

NXPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NXPL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NextPlat Corp (NXPL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NXPL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NXPL, spanning a range between $7.26 and $9.34.

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