NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer
$213.66 -0.80% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (75% profit margin, 65% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $4.93T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+13% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:92% Call Buyers ($339.1M)
8% PutsMax Pain: $177.00
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT
Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →NVDA Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING
▲ Disclosed Buys: 7 ($1.10B)▼ Disclosed Sales: 9 ($1.24B)
Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NVDA)
| Filer / Title | Category | Side | Shares | $ Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors (Ken Griffin)13F-HR Multi-Strategy Institutional Manager // CIK 0001423053 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 2,450,000 | $573.2M | 2026-10-18 |
| Rep. Nancy PelosiU.S. House Representative (CA-11) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 10,000 | $2.3M | 2026-10-18 |
| Renaissance Technologies13F-HR Medallion Quantitative Manager // CIK 0001037389 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 1,320,000 | $308.8M | 2026-10-16 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller)13F-HR Global Macro Family Office // CIK 0001536411 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 950,000 | $213.8M | 2026-10-15 |
| Sen. Tommy TubervilleU.S. Senate Armed Services Committee (AL) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 2,500 | $562.7K | 2026-10-07 |
| Teter Timothy S.SEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 30,460 | $6.8M | 2026-09-23 |
| Stevens Mark ASEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 1,366,000 | $300.2M | 2026-09-22 |
| Kress ColetteSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 34,918 | $7.6M | 2026-09-18 |
| Stevens Mark ASEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 1,022,239 | $235.6M | 2026-09-08 |
| Stevens Mark ASEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 1,848,501 | $410.8M | 2026-09-02 |
| Teter Timothy S.SEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 30,000 | $6.5M | 2026-09-02 |
| Rep. Mark GreenU.S. House Homeland Security Chair (TN-07) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 2,200 | $441.6K | 2026-08-14 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller)13F-HR Global Macro Family Office // CIK 0001536411 | HEDGE_FUND | SELL | 420,000 | $81.8M | 2026-07-19 |
| Stevens Mark ASEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 885,000 | $186.0M | 2026-06-23 |
| Rep. Nancy PelosiU.S. House Representative (CA-11) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 5,000 | $1.1M | 2026-06-07 |
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NVDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.12%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $213.1H $220.0L $200.9C $204.6VOL 514.27M
RES: $244.3SMA50: $221.8SMA200: $204.4
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NVDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-1.17% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +83.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · 50D SMA Consolidation Breakout
Trigger: $211.19 • Invalidation: $192.77
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
MU → NVDA Confirmed Filing
Micron supplies 8-high and 12-high HBM3E high-bandwidth DRAM cubes qualified onto NVIDIA H200 and Blackwell GB200/B200 accelerators, carrying ~3x wafer bit-trade ratio vs. standard DDR5.
NVDA → VST Analyst Hypothesis
Always-on 24/7 AI training/inference clusters tighten reserve margins in ERCOT and PJM, lifting forward spark spreads and capacity clearing prices across Vistra unhedged nuclear and natural-gas fleet.
NVDA → SMCI Confirmed Filing
Super Micro integrates NVIDIA HGX and Blackwell GPUs into rack-scale Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) servers, driving rapid top-line revenue expansion but intense working-capital and margin sensitivity.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick)
💡 What Changed Our Mind: High-Speed 800G AI Ethernet Caught Up Faster Than Our Initial Model Assumed (mara-quenwick)
🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: BIS Export Administration Regulations: Advanced AI Compute & HBM Semiconductor Controls (Department of Commerce — Bureau of Industry and Security (15 CFR Parts 734, 740, 744))
🎬 Curated Video: What Frontier AI Capital Filings Actually Reveal About Hyperscaler Compute Spend (Patrick Boyle) →
NVDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDAre NVDA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?
Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NVDA leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.