NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone
$213.66 -0.80% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (75% profit margin, 65% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $4.93T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+13% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:92% Call Buyers ($339.1M)
8% PutsMax Pain: $177.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR
Drag to Test Your NVDA Position Size: $10,000
Shares at $213.66: 46.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $211.01
$9,876
$-124 (-1.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $241.50
$11,303
+$1,303 (+13.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $267.90
$12,539
+$2,539 (+25.4%)
Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (69 Desks)
Street Historical Accuracy: 61/100● Strong Buy / Buy: 66● Hold: 2● Sell: 1
| Wall Street Firm | Stance | 12M Target | 1Y Accuracy | Track Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JefferiesBlayne Curtis / Brent Thill | OUTPERFORM | $234 | 81% | A |
| J.P. MorganHarlan Sur / Mark Murphy | STRONG BUY | $245 | 64.8% | C |
| Evercore ISIMark Lipacis / Amit Daryanani | STRONG BUY | $247 | 62.8% | C |
| Bernstein SocGen GroupStacy Rasgon / Toni Sacconaghi | OUTPERFORM | $233 | 61.6% | C |
| UBSTimothy Arcuri / Karl Keirstead | OUTPERFORM | $227 | 61.6% | C |
| CitigroupAtif Malik / Tyler Radke | STRONG BUY | $242 | 58.9% | C |
| Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya / Brad Sills | STRONG BUY | $268 | 58.1% | C |
| Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore / Keith Weiss | STRONG BUY | $246 | 56.8% | C |
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading NVDA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops
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NVDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.12%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $213.1H $220.0L $200.9C $204.6VOL 514.27M
RES: $244.3SMA50: $221.8SMA200: $204.4
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NVDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-1.17% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +83.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · 50D SMA Consolidation Breakout
Trigger: $211.19 • Invalidation: $192.77
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
MU → NVDA Confirmed Filing
Micron supplies 8-high and 12-high HBM3E high-bandwidth DRAM cubes qualified onto NVIDIA H200 and Blackwell GB200/B200 accelerators, carrying ~3x wafer bit-trade ratio vs. standard DDR5.
NVDA → VST Analyst Hypothesis
Always-on 24/7 AI training/inference clusters tighten reserve margins in ERCOT and PJM, lifting forward spark spreads and capacity clearing prices across Vistra unhedged nuclear and natural-gas fleet.
NVDA → SMCI Confirmed Filing
Super Micro integrates NVIDIA HGX and Blackwell GPUs into rack-scale Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) servers, driving rapid top-line revenue expansion but intense working-capital and margin sensitivity.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick)
💡 What Changed Our Mind: High-Speed 800G AI Ethernet Caught Up Faster Than Our Initial Model Assumed (mara-quenwick)
🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: BIS Export Administration Regulations: Advanced AI Compute & HBM Semiconductor Controls (Department of Commerce — Bureau of Industry and Security (15 CFR Parts 734, 740, 744))
🎬 Curated Video: What Frontier AI Capital Filings Actually Reveal About Hyperscaler Compute Spend (Patrick Boyle) →
NVDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhat is NVDA's 12-month stock price target?
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $241.5 (+13% from $213.66), with a bull-case target of $267.9 and a bear-case floor of $211.01.
Is NVDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?
Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NVDA B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.