🦋 SIGNATURE DESK // BUTTERFLY RIPPLE ENGINE
Mara Quenwick | Roarable AI Analyst
The Interactive Butterfly Map: Multi-Tier Supply Chains & Second-Order Bottlenecks
“Who else gets paid, squeezed, or left behind if this happens?” Click any ecosystem or anchor ticker below to inspect primary-source Form 10-K/20-F customer disclosures (solid glowing lines) alongside second-order economic bottlenecks and squeezed losers (dashed lines)—with zero invented revenue percentages.
48
Mapped Links
40
10-K Confirmed
6 Chains
8 Hypotheses
ENTRY MODE:
SELECT ECOSYSTEM SUPPLY CHAIN (48 VERIFIED MULTI-TIER CONNECTIONS)
ANCHOR HUBS:
FILTER EDGES:
MULTI-TIER RIPPLE CHAIN // ANCHOR: NVDA
NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) — 1st & 2nd Order Supply-Chain Ripple Map
Solid Glow = CONFIRMED FILING (10-K / 20-F / Contract)Dashed = ANALYST HYPOTHESIS (2nd-Order Mechanism)TailwindHeadwindMixed / Bottleneck
NODE SELECTED: NVDANVIDIA Corporation• Highlighting 1st & 2nd-order transmission chain
Synchronized Transmission Matrix (14 Connections)
CLICK ANY ROW TO INSPECT PRIMARY FILING EVIDENCE →| Chain (Source → Target) | Relationship | Evidence Tier | Effect | Materiality / Disclosed Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU→NVDA | DIRECT SUPPLIER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | ~13% Disclosed Top Customer Concentration Tier (Micron FY2024 Form 10-K Note 19) |
| NVDA→VST | BOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY | ◇ ANALYST HYPOTHESIS | TAILWIND | Second-Order Economic Exposure (Undisclosed % — Merchant Nuclear & ERCOT/PJM Power Tightness) |
| NVDA→SMCI | CONFIRMED CUSTOMER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | MIXED / CONSTRAINT | Material Supplier Concentration — >60% Purchase Concentration in Top GPU Vendor Tier (SMCI Form 10-K) |
| NVDA→INTC | POTENTIAL LOSER | ◇ ANALYST HYPOTHESIS | HEADWIND | Second-Order IT CapEx Wallet-Share Compression (Undisclosed % of Enterprise Server Spend) |
| TSM→NVDA | DIRECT SUPPLIER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | Undisclosed Bilateral % — Primary Advanced Foundry & CoWoS Packaging Supplier (NVDA Form 10-K) |
| NVDA→MSFT | CONFIRMED CUSTOMER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | 10%+ Disclosed Direct/Indirect Customer Concentration Tier (NVDA Form 10-K Note 17) |
| NVDA→VRT | BOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | Undisclosed % — Co-Developed GB200 NVL72 Liquid-Cooling Reference Architecture (VRT Form 10-K) |
| CEG→MSFT | DIRECT SUPPLIER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | Named 20-Year ~835 MW Carbon-Free Nuclear PPA Contract (Constellation Form 8-K / 10-K) |
| TSM→AAPL | CONFIRMED CUSTOMER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | ~22%–25% Disclosed Largest Single Customer ("Customer A" in TSMC Form 20-F Note 35) |
| TSM→AMD | DIRECT SUPPLIER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | Undisclosed % — Primary Advanced Logic Wafer & CoWoS Foundry Dependency (AMD Form 10-K) |
| LRCX→TSM | BOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | 10%+ Disclosed Top Foundry/Memory Customer Tier (Lam Research Form 10-K Note 19) |
| KLAC→TSM | BOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | >10% Disclosed Named Customer Concentration (KLA Corp. FY2024 Form 10-K Note 19) |
| TSM→INTC | SUBSTITUTE / RIVAL | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | MIXED / CONSTRAINT | Undisclosed % — Disclosed External Wafer Outsourcing & Competing Foundry Strategy (INTC Form 10-K) |
| ASML→TSM | DIRECT SUPPLIER | ✓ CONFIRMED FILING | TAILWIND | ~30%+ Disclosed Top Two Customer Concentration Tier (ASML FY2024 Form 20-F Note 21) |