NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.27 -14.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.21

NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $115.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRXP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: NRXP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $2.27 (-14.66% 1D, market cap $115.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NRXP ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRXP compare to TLSA and ANIX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NRXP carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 58.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLSA (Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $115.1M) and ANIX (Anixa Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRXP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NRXP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRXP?
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Per NRXP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001719406), NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $1.2M in revenue, -$28.6M in net income, and -$14.1M in free cash flow against $13.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.21 (-2.83%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NRXP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRXP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NRXP SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$2.85-7.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$2.63-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$2.55-11% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$2.27-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NRXP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NRXP currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.03) and Max Pain ($2.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRXP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NRXP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
2830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.27H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NRXP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 58.8% gross margin and -12.25% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NRXP
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NRXP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NRXP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NRXP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $2.32H $2.44L $2.18C $2.27VOL 1.06M
RES: $2.85SUP: $2.08SMA50: $3.03SMA200: $2.97
$5.26$4.40$3.55$2.70$1.85RES $2.85SUP $2.08$2.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRXP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRXP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRXP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRXP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRXP)

Health Care Rank #643 of 1016 ⚔️ TLSA vs NRXP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NRXP vs. TLSA, ANIX, CLLS, NKTX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) ranks #643 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #640 by equity capitalization ($115.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NRXP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NRXP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 58.8% gross margin. TLSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NRXP at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NRXP ACTIVE
NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 36/100 — 58.8% -35.0% -14.66% $115.2M Benchmark Subject
TLSA
Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.
D+ 55/100 — — — -11.57% $115.1M /tlsa-vs-nrxp →
ANIX
Anixa Biosciences Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -5.45% $114.7M /anix-vs-nrxp →
CLLS
Cellectis S.A.
D 49/100 — — — -7.69% $117.6M /clls-vs-nrxp →
NKTX
Nkarta Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -6.02% $118.9M /nktx-vs-nrxp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001719406

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.2M (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$28.6M, operating cash flow of -$14.1M, and free cash flow of -$14.1M (-32.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRXP closed FY2025 with $13.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.2M -$28.6M -$14.1M -$14.1M $13.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$25.1M -$10.6M -$10.6M $3.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$30.1M -$21.7M -$21.7M — —

3. NRXP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRXP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: NRXP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $2.27 (-14.66% 1D, market cap $115.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NRXP ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NRXP compare to TLSA and ANIX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NRXP carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 58.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLSA (Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $115.1M) and ANIX (Anixa Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRXP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NRXP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRXP?

Per NRXP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001719406), NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $1.2M in revenue, -$28.6M in net income, and -$14.1M in free cash flow against $13.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NRXP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRXP last traded at $2.27 (-14.66% on volume of 15,639,675 shares), positioning the stock -25.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.03) and -23.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.97). Across its 52-week range of $1.62 to $5.06, NRXP sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.99 to $2.55).

NRXP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NRXP stock right now?

NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NRXP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NRXP's 12-month base price target is $2.05 (range $1.6 to $5.31), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NRXP — NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NRXP scores 36 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 6 out of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -12.25%, which indicates the business is currently consuming cash rather than generating it. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 9 out of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that does not offset the weak fundamentals. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 out of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar and a signal of limited insider confidence per this rating. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8 out of 20, drawing on an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the implication is that upside depends on a turnaround in cash generation that the reported figures do not yet show; the valuation case rests on future execution rather than current earnings, and the rating frames the risk as balance sheet and flow vulnerability.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1.2M$-16.2M$-28.6MN/A$-14.1M$7.8MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-18.5M$-25.1MN/A$-10.6M$1.4MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-27.8M$-30.1MN/A$-21.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported net losses in each period shown, with operating margin and net margin both at -60% in the market data. Gross margin is 58.8%. ROIC stands at -35% and the FCF yield at -12.25%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5, and reported cash rose to $7.8M in FY 2025 from $1.4M in FY 2024, though debt figures are N/A in the filings provided.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, six items are tied to NRXP. A GREEN-flagged TradingView report headlined "NRx Pharmaceuticals (NRXP) Stock Jumps Over 26% After Hours: What's Behind the Surge?" is the sole item tagged CATALYST, though its underlying drivers are not described in the source summary. A Stock Titan item reports that tests found preservative-free ketamine stayed pure, potent and sterile for two years, a product-stability data point. A Globe and Mail item notes the company has set a 2026 virtual annual meeting date. Remaining items are market-wire coverage from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Benzinga, and The Globe and Mail, flagged YELLOW. Risk watch items include the continued operating losses and cash consumption noted above. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and revenue sources generate the $1.2M in FY 2025 revenue, and what drove the cash increase to $7.8M?
  • What is the company's debt position, since debt figures are N/A across all reported periods?
  • What catalyst drove the 26% after-hours move referenced in the TradingView headline?
  • What is the runway implied by FY 2025 FCF of $-14.1M against $7.8M cash on hand?
  • What institutional and insider holdings underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?

NRXP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NRXP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NRXP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NRXP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.27?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NRXP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NRXP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.34 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NRXP (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $2.66?

Welcome to the NRXP (NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.07 (-22.2%)
Spot @ $2.66

Pump the brakes on NRXP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NRXP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 58.8% gross margins. Unless NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.06 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $2.66

NRXP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NRXP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.66 (52-wk range $2.29 - $2.87), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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