MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
BrenX Shares Halted On Circuit Breaker To The Upside, Stock Now Up 54.49%Why NRGV Stock advanced +1.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.27 +1.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.27
Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NRGV) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $594.6M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NRGV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NRGV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.27 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $594.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NRGV ranks #425 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NRGV compare to MASS and EOSE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NRGV carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MASS (908 Devices Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $531.1M) and EOSE (Eos Energy Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $721.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASS leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while MLAB leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRGV?
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Per NRGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828536), Energy Vault Holdings Inc. generated $203.7M in revenue (+340.9% YoY), -$103.6M in net income, and -$46.7M in free cash flow against $312.9M in total assets and $38.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.27 (+0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRGV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NRGV SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (30% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$3.25-12.6% Next Q
25
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.84-10.2% Next Q
28
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.55+28.2% Next Q
30
CurrentGrade E$3.27-8.9% Hist 90D α
33
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NRGV Turnaround Squeeze
While NRGV currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.64) and Max Pain ($3.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.98.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRGV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NRGV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NRGV Stock advanced +1.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NRGV) advanced +1.55% to $3.27, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $6.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $6.65) with RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 23.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NRGV Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Eagle Point Provides Strategic Equipment Financing to Energy Vault for Behind the Meter Power InfrastructureGREENWICH, Conn., October 29, 2026--Eagle Point Credit Management LLC ("Eagle Point"), an innovative private credit investment manager, today announced it has provided a $137.5 million senior secured credit facility to a
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
Citigroup Maintains Buy on Energy Vault Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $4.75Citigroup analyst Vikram Bagri maintains Energy Vault Hldgs (NYSE:NRGV) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $6 to $4.75.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 12d ago
12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Tuesday's After-Market SessionGainers Energy Vault Hldgs (NYSE:NRGV) stock rose 7.0% to $2.94 during Tuesday's after-market session. The company's market cap stands at $503.6 million. Perpetuals.com (NASDAQ:PDC) stock rose 6.17% to $2.47.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NRGV)
- ✓Walkthrough of NRGV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NRGV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $3.03H $3.27L $2.90C $3.27VOL 4.72M
RES: $5.61SUP: $2.36SMA50: $3.64SMA200: $3.92
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NRGV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRGV today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRGV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRGV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRGV)
Industrials Rank #425 of 485
⚔️ MASS vs NRGV Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NRGV vs. MASS, EOSE, FAC, MLAB)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NRGV) ranks #425 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #286 by equity capitalization ($594.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASS leads on earnings valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E, while MLAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and 63.5% gross margin. MLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NRGV at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRGV
ACTIVE
Energy Vault Holdings Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 23.6% | -35.0% | +1.55% | $594.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| MASS 908 Devices Inc. | D | 46/100 | 27.3x | 50.6% | -35.0% | -0.15% | $531.1M | /mass-vs-nrgv → |
| EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +1.54% | $721.1M | /eose-vs-nrgv → |
| FAC Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.52% | $479.5M | /fac-vs-nrgv → |
| MLAB Mesa Laboratories Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 110.9x | 63.5% | 9.3% | +1.30% | $744.4M | /mlab-vs-nrgv → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001828536In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NRGV) reported GAAP revenue of $203.7M (+340.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $46.2M , and -40.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$103.6M, operating cash flow of -$5.6M, and free cash flow of -$46.7M (+59.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRGV closed FY2025 with $312.9M in total assets against $38.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $203.7M | -$103.6M | -$5.6M | -$46.7M | $312.9M | $38.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $46.2M | -$135.8M | -$55.9M | -$114.7M | $183.9M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $341.5M | -$98.4M | -$92.7M | -$92.7M | — | — |
3. NRGV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NRGV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NRGV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.27 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $594.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NRGV ranks #425 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NRGV compare to MASS and EOSE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NRGV carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MASS (908 Devices Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $531.1M) and EOSE (Eos Energy Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $721.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASS leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while MLAB leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRGV?
Per NRGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828536), Energy Vault Holdings Inc. generated $203.7M in revenue (+340.9% YoY), -$103.6M in net income, and -$46.7M in free cash flow against $312.9M in total assets and $38.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NRGV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NRGV last traded at $3.27 (+1.55% on volume of 3,636,269 shares), positioning the stock -10.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.64) and -16.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.92). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $6.65, NRGV sits at the 19.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.86 to $3.68).
NRGV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NRGV stock moving today?
Why NRGV Stock advanced +1.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.