Stock Ratings / Industrials / NPK / earnings

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National Presto Industries Inc. (NPK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.1% Move

$151.77 +0.66% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $151.66

National Presto Industries Inc. (NPK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.08B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $151.66 (-0.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NPK SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.22 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$151.59-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$149.05-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$148.93+1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$151.77-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NPK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NPK currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($149.64) and Max Pain ($159.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $175.06.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NPK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.1% Swing Band

±$9.26 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NPK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.64 • YoY Revenue Growth: 29.7%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$503.5M	$33.1M	-$36.2M	16%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$388.2M	$41.5M	-$61.0M	20.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$340.9M	$34.6M	$45.4M	16%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NPK)

✓Walkthrough of NPK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NPK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $151.3H $151.8L $147.7C $151.8VOL 81.9K

RES: $166.5SUP: $116.3SMA50: $149.6SMA200: $136.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NPK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NPK Butterfly Map → + Track NPK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPK)

Industrials Rank #260 of 485 ⚔️ SWBI vs NPK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NPK vs. SWBI, RGR, POWW, WRAP)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Presto Industries Inc. (NPK) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPK leads on earnings valuation at 32.7x trailing P/E, while NPK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NPK at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NPK ACTIVE National Presto Industries Inc.	D+	53/100	32.7x	16.0%	8.1%	+0.66%	$1.08B	Benchmark Subject
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.	C+	67/100	39.8x	26.9%	6.7%	-1.66%	$735.4M	/swbi-vs-npk →
RGR Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.	D	49/100	—	14.9%	-3.7%	-1.31%	$731.5M	/rgr-vs-npk →
POWW Outdoor Holding Company	D-	37/100	—	87.2%	-3.0%	-0.42%	$276.2M	/poww-vs-npk →
WRAP Wrap Technologies Inc.	E	31/100	—	57.8%	-35.0%	-0.81%	$76.3M	/wrap-vs-npk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000080172

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Presto Industries Inc. (NPK) reported GAAP revenue of $503.5M (+29.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $388.2M , and +47.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.1M, operating cash flow of -$9.1M, and free cash flow of -$36.2M (+40.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPK closed FY2025 with $500.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.22, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$503.5M	$33.1M	-$9.1M	-$36.2M	$500.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$388.2M	$41.5M	-$53.4M	-$61.0M	$453.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$340.9M	$34.6M	$45.4M	$45.4M	—	—

3. NPK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National Presto Industries Inc. (NYSE: NPK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $151.77 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NPK ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NPK compare to SWBI and RGR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), NPK carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.7x, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 39.8x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $735.4M) and RGR (Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $731.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPK leads on earnings multiple (32.7x) while NPK leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPK?

Per NPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000080172), National Presto Industries Inc. generated $503.5M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), $33.1M in net income, and -$36.2M in free cash flow against $500.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NPK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPK last traded at $151.77 (+0.66% on volume of 101,165 shares), positioning the stock +1.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($149.64) and +10.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($136.74). Across its 52-week range of $91.28 to $158.17, NPK sits at the 90.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($142.51 to $161.03).

NPK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NPK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, National Presto Industries Inc. (NPK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NPK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.1% event move for NPK, spanning a range between $142.51 and $161.03.

Direct Sub-Reports: NPK RQD Cockpit NPK 12M Forecast NPK Earnings & Move NPK Dividends & DRIP NPK Insiders & 13F NPK Whale Options NPK Profit Sankey NPK News & Why