Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.30 -5.46% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.16

Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $446.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NPCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Neuropace Inc. (NASDAQ: NPCE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $12.30 (-5.46% 1D, market cap $446.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NPCE ranks #963 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NPCE compare to CARL and SI in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NPCE carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 77.2%, and ROIC of -23.0%. By comparison, CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $430.6M) and SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $425.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPCE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OFIX leads on capital efficiency (-12.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPCE?
β–Ό

Per NPCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001528287), Neuropace Inc. generated $100.0M in revenue (+25.1% YoY), -$21.5M in net income, and -$11.3M in free cash flow against $105.6M in total assets and $58.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.16 (-1.17%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (6)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$21 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NPCE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPCE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NPCE SCORES 23/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$13.00-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$12.77+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$12.99-5.3% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$12.30-11.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ E (23)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NPCE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NPCE currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.66) and Max Pain ($12.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.58.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPCEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNPCE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (14.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $38,394

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $230/yr
$11.4K
Yr 1
$13.1K
Yr 2
$15.0K
Yr 3
$17.1K
Yr 4
$19.6K
Yr 5
$22.4K
Yr 6
$25.6K
Yr 7
$29.3K
Yr 8
$33.6K
Yr 9
$38.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NPCE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NPCE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NPCE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.22%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.93H $13.01L $12.30C $12.30VOL 104.6K
RES: $13.21SUP: $11.74SMA50: $13.66SMA200: $14.96
$20.12$17.96$15.79$13.62$11.46RES $13.21SUP $11.74$12.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NPCE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPCE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPCE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPCE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPCE)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NPCE vs. CARL, SI, SSII, OFIX)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) ranks #963 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #467 by equity capitalization ($446.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPCE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OFIX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.2% ROIC and 68.8% gross margin. SI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with NPCE at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NPCE ACTIVE
Neuropace Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 77.2% -23.0% -5.46% $446.6M Benchmark Subject
CARL
Carlsmed Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 75.3% -35.0% -5.20% $430.6M /carl-vs-npce β†’
SI
Shoulder Innovations Inc.
D 48/100 β€” 76.5% -16.1% -6.41% $425.5M /si-vs-npce β†’
SSII
SS Innovations International Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 46.0% -18.5% -1.26% $477.2M /ssii-vs-npce β†’
OFIX
Orthofix Medical Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 68.8% -12.2% -11.43% $417.1M /ofix-vs-npce β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001528287

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) reported GAAP revenue of $100.0M (+25.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.9M , and +52.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$21.5M, operating cash flow of -$11.0M, and free cash flow of -$11.3M (+37.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPCE closed FY2025 with $105.6M in total assets against $58.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $100.0M -$21.5M -$11.0M -$11.3M $105.6M $58.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $79.9M -$27.1M -$17.9M -$18.3M $94.6M $59.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $65.4M -$33.0M -$19.7M -$19.7M β€” β€”

3. NPCE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NPCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Neuropace Inc. (NASDAQ: NPCE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $12.30 (-5.46% 1D, market cap $446.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NPCE ranks #963 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NPCE compare to CARL and SI in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NPCE carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 77.2%, and ROIC of -23.0%. By comparison, CARL (Carlsmed Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $430.6M) and SI (Shoulder Innovations Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $425.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPCE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OFIX leads on capital efficiency (-12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPCE?

Per NPCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001528287), Neuropace Inc. generated $100.0M in revenue (+25.1% YoY), -$21.5M in net income, and -$11.3M in free cash flow against $105.6M in total assets and $58.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NPCE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPCE last traded at $12.30 (-5.46% on volume of 80,912 shares), positioning the stock -9.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.66) and -17.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.96). Across its 52-week range of $9.22 to $19.60, NPCE sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.0% ($11.19 to $13.41).

NPCE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does NPCE pay a dividend and is it safe?

Neuropace Inc. (NPCE) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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