Stock Ratings / Industrials / NN / dividends

HSAI (40) MFP (52) SPB (66) ATS (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NextNav Inc. (NN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.08 -3.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.98

NextNav Inc. (NN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.98 (-0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NN SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (37% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.35-22.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.59+5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$10.08+19.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$12.08-10.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NN currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.54) and Max Pain ($12.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NN)

✓Walkthrough of NN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.68H $12.08L $11.00C $12.08VOL 2.64M

RES: $14.96SUP: $8.71SMA50: $13.54SMA200: $16.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NN Butterfly Map → + Track NN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NN)

Industrials Rank #467 of 485 ⚔️ HSAI vs NN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NN vs. HSAI, MFP, SPB, ATS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextNav Inc. (NN) ranks #467 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #208 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with NN at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NN ACTIVE NextNav Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	Benchmark Subject
HSAI Hesai Group	D-	40/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	/hsai-vs-nn →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-nn →
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	/spb-vs-nn →
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-nn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001865631

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextNav Inc. (NN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.6M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.7M , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$189.3M, operating cash flow of -$50.7M, and free cash flow of -$50.8M (-32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NN closed FY2025 with $247.0M in total assets against $273.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.6M	-$189.3M	-$50.7M	-$50.8M	$247.0M	$273.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.7M	-$101.9M	-$38.0M	-$38.4M	$161.7M	$54.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.9M	-$71.7M	-$35.4M	-$35.4M	—	—

3. NN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ: NN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $12.08 (-3.59% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NN ranks #467 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NN compare to HSAI and MFP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NN carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HSAI (Hesai Group) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.04B) and MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NN?

Per NN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865631), NextNav Inc. generated $4.6M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$189.3M in net income, and -$50.8M in free cash flow against $247.0M in total assets and $273.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NN last traded at $12.08 (-3.59% on volume of 2,600,982 shares), positioning the stock -10.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.54) and -26.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.45). Across its 52-week range of $8.98 to $24.42, NN sits at the 20.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.57 to $13.59).

NN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NN pay a dividend and is it safe?

NextNav Inc. (NN) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: NN RQD Cockpit NN 12M Forecast NN Earnings & Move NN Dividends & DRIP NN Insiders & 13F NN Whale Options NN Profit Sankey NN News & Why