Nkarta Inc. (NKTX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.56 -6.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54

Nkarta Inc. (NKTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $118.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NKTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Nkarta Inc. (NASDAQ: NKTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (-6.02% 1D, market cap $118.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NKTX ranks #813 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NKTX compare to CLLS and NRXP in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NKTX carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CLLS (Cellectis S.A.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $117.6M) and NRXP (NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NKTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NKTX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKTX?
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Per NKTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001787400), Nkarta Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$104.1M in net income, and -$89.9M in free cash flow against $404.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.54 (-1.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (5)SEC (7)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NKTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NKTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NKTX SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 20.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$2.17-19.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.75+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.83-14.8% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.56-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NKTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NKTX currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.42) and Max Pain ($1.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NKTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NKTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.20 Expected Swing
$1.36 (-12.5%)Spot $1.56$1.76 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NKTX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 31/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (31/100)Model Risk Weight (69/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$104.1M-$89.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$108.8M-$104.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$117.5M-$86.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NKTX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NKTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NKTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.34%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1.61H $1.63L $1.48C $1.56VOL 706.1K
RES: $2.91SUP: $1.56SMA50: $2.42SMA200: $2.53
$3.88$3.23$2.58$1.93$1.28RES $2.91SUP $1.56$1.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NKTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NKTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NKTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NKTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NKTX)

Health Care Rank #813 of 1016 ⚔️ CLLS vs NKTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NKTX vs. CLLS, NRXP, TLSA, ANIX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nkarta Inc. (NKTX) ranks #813 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #637 by equity capitalization ($118.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NKTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. TLSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NKTX at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NKTX ACTIVE
Nkarta Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -6.02% $118.9M Benchmark Subject
CLLS
Cellectis S.A.
D 49/100 — — — -7.69% $117.6M /clls-vs-nktx →
NRXP
NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 36/100 — 58.8% -35.0% -14.66% $115.2M /nrxp-vs-nktx →
TLSA
Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.
D+ 55/100 — — — -11.57% $115.1M /tlsa-vs-nktx →
ANIX
Anixa Biosciences Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -5.45% $114.7M /anix-vs-nktx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001787400

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nkarta Inc. (NKTX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$104.1M, operating cash flow of -$88.7M, and free cash flow of -$89.9M (+13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NKTX closed FY2025 with $404.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$104.1M -$88.7M -$89.9M $404.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$108.8M -$99.7M -$104.1M $501.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$117.5M -$86.2M -$86.2M — —

3. NKTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NKTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Nkarta Inc. (NASDAQ: NKTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (-6.02% 1D, market cap $118.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NKTX ranks #813 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NKTX compare to CLLS and NRXP in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NKTX carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CLLS (Cellectis S.A.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $117.6M) and NRXP (NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NKTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NKTX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKTX?

Per NKTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001787400), Nkarta Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$104.1M in net income, and -$89.9M in free cash flow against $404.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NKTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NKTX last traded at $1.56 (-6.02% on volume of 1,214,457 shares), positioning the stock -35.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.42) and -38.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.53). Across its 52-week range of $1.48 to $3.72, NKTX sits at the 3.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.76).

NKTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NKTX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Nkarta Inc. (NKTX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NKTX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NKTX, spanning a range between $1.36 and $1.76.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NKTX — Nkarta Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The per the Roarable RQD rating, NKTX carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the stock scores 4/20 on the fundamental cash engine (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), 5/20 on whale 13F flow (institutional accumulation and options positioning), 5/20 on insider conviction (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), 10/20 on macro regime fit (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and 7/20 on forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak internal cash generation, as the cash engine pillar is the lowest-scoring component and the source reports no revenue, zero margins, and negative free cash flow across the reported periods. The forensic pillar reflects balance-sheet stress markers, with a low Altman Z-score and a weak Piotroski reading. Institutional and insider pillars are also low, indicating limited observable conviction signals in the provided data. Upside drivers, if any, would have to come from outside the metrics captured here, since the rating itself indicates the reported fundamentals do not currently support a cash-based valuation. The beta of 1.0 places the stock in line with the broader market on volatility, but the rating's macro-fit score is only 10/20, so sector sensitivity is a relevant consideration.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-122.0M$-104.1MN/A$-89.9M$39.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-128.2M$-108.8MN/A$-104.1M$27.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-131.7M$-117.5MN/A$-86.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported zero revenue and operating losses in each of the three periods, with the gross, operating, and net margins all shown as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash was $39.6M at FY 2025 and $27.9M at FY 2024, and the source does not provide cash or debt for FY 2023 or debt for the other periods. Taken together, these figures describe a company reporting continuing losses and negative free cash flow with a low Altman Z-Score.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items were tagged as market wire, all related to NKTX. Headlines include a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo! Finance seasonal returns chart, an H.C. Wainwright initiation of coverage with a buy rating (reported via Investing.com India), a Simply Wall St article on cash allocation, and two technical-level items referencing support and resistance around $2.45 and $2.71 and a retracement near $2.21. These items are all classified YELLOW by the source. The technical reports cite prices ($2.58, $2.21) that differ from the current price of $1.66 in the market data section, so their timing and reliability cannot be reconciled from the source. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, clinical programs, or revenue sources does the company have, given that reported revenue is $0.0M across periods?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash and debt figures and the debt balances for all periods, which the source leaves unreported?
  • What is the company's cash runway relative to the reported negative free cash flow of $-89.9M in FY 2025?
  • What is the basis for the reported H.C. Wainwright buy rating, and does it reflect a formal price target?
  • Which of the technical price levels cited in the news items (such as $2.58) relate to the current $1.66 price, and over what time frame?

NKTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nkarta Inc. (NKTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NKTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NKTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.56?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NKTX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NKTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NKTX (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $1.66?

Welcome to the NKTX (Nkarta Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.34 (-19.3%)
Spot @ $1.66

Pump the brakes on NKTX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NKTX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nkarta Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.94 (+16.9%)
Spot @ $1.66

NKTX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NKTX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.66 (52-wk range $1.55 - $1.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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