Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NHTC / financials

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Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: Is NHTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Natural Health Trends Corp. (NASDAQ: NHTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-8.01% 1D, market cap $6.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NHTC ranks #978 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NHTC compare to EDUC and HYFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), NHTC carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.5%, and ROIC of -8.6%. By comparison, EDUC (Educational Development Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $8.9M) and HYFM (Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EDUC leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHTC?

Per NHTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912061), Natural Health Trends Corp. generated $39.8M in revenue (-7.4% YoY), -$882.0K in net income, and -$6.1M in free cash flow against $38.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NHTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NHTC last traded at $0.77 (-8.01% on volume of 81,522 shares), positioning the stock -36.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -66.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.31). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $4.44, NHTC sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.87).

Q: How profitable is Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NHTC converted $39.8M of revenue into a 73.5% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

$0.77 -8.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76

Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $6.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76 (-1.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NHTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NHTC SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (41% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.93+4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.97-19.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.78-1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.77-10.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NHTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NHTC currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.21) and Max Pain ($0.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NHTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NHTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NHTC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $43.9M

FY24

Rev $43.0M

FY25

Rev $39.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$39.8M	73.5%	-4.5%	-$882.0K	-$6.1M	-8.6%
FY 2024	$43.0M	74%	-3%	$572.0K	-$3.4M	-5.3%
FY 2023	$43.9M	73.5%	-3.8%	$568.0K	-$4.3M	-8.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NHTC)

✓Walkthrough of NHTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NHTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -75.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $0.76H $0.80L $0.75C $0.77VOL 45.9K

RES: $0.82SUP: $0.47SMA50: $1.21SMA200: $2.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NHTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NHTC Butterfly Map → + Track NHTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NHTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NHTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NHTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NHTC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #978 of 1011 ⚔️ EDUC vs NHTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NHTC vs. EDUC, HYFM, BRLT, ELA)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC) ranks #978 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #951 by equity capitalization ($6.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EDUC leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. ELA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NHTC at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NHTC ACTIVE Natural Health Trends Corp.	E	27/100	—	73.5%	-8.6%	-8.01%	$6.6M	Benchmark Subject
EDUC Educational Development Corporation	C-	61/100	3.8x	59.4%	5.1%	+0.97%	$8.9M	/educ-vs-nhtc →
HYFM Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.	D-	37/100	—	11.3%	-35.0%	-5.45%	$3.8M	/hyfm-vs-nhtc →
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	57.5%	-35.0%	+2.58%	$161.9M	/brlt-vs-nhtc →
ELA Envela Corporation	B-	70/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	/ela-vs-nhtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000912061

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC) reported GAAP revenue of $39.8M (-7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.0M , and -9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$882.0K, operating cash flow of -$6.0M, and free cash flow of -$6.1M (-77.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NHTC closed FY2025 with $38.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.46, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$39.8M	-$882.0K	-$6.0M	-$6.1M	$38.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$43.0M	$572.0K	-$3.4M	-$3.4M	$55.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$43.9M	$568.0K	-$4.3M	-$4.3M	—	—

3. NHTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NHTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Natural Health Trends Corp. (NASDAQ: NHTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-8.01% 1D, market cap $6.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NHTC ranks #978 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NHTC compare to EDUC and HYFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), NHTC carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.5%, and ROIC of -8.6%. By comparison, EDUC (Educational Development Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $8.9M) and HYFM (Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EDUC leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHTC?

Per NHTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912061), Natural Health Trends Corp. generated $39.8M in revenue (-7.4% YoY), -$882.0K in net income, and -$6.1M in free cash flow against $38.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NHTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NHTC last traded at $0.77 (-8.01% on volume of 81,522 shares), positioning the stock -36.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -66.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.31). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $4.44, NHTC sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.87).

NHTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Natural Health Trends Corp. (NHTC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NHTC converted $39.8M of revenue into a 73.5% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: NHTC RQD Cockpit NHTC 12M Forecast NHTC Earnings & Move NHTC Dividends & DRIP NHTC Insiders & 13F NHTC Whale Options NHTC Profit Sankey NHTC News & Why