Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.3% Move

$62.05 +0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $254.80B
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
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Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (13)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+18.5% Base Target
$78 Bull$74 Base$65 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS POSITIONING:34% Calls ($3.7M)
66% PutsMax Pain: $67.00
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 20, 2027 (~79 DAYS)

Options-Implied Post-Earnings ±7.3% Bell Curve

±$4.53 Expected Swing
$57.52 (-7.3%)Spot $62.05$66.58 (+7.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NFLX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $3.46 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.7%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
Q3 20262026-10-21$12.87B$3.66B$2.88B52.8%
Q2 20262026-07-17$12.56B$3.40B$1.53B51.9%
Q1 20262026-04-17$12.25B$5.28B$5.09B51.9%
Q4 20252026-01-23$12.05B$2.42B$1.87B45.9%
Q3 20252026-10-21$11.51B$2.55B$2.66B46.5%
Q2 20252026-07-17$11.08B$3.13B$2.27B51.9%
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NFLX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NFLX
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NFLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-01O $61.99H $62.05L $61.99C $62.05VOL 45.30M
RES: $78.98SMA50: $83.23SMA200: $74.27
$105.2$93.31$81.44$69.57$57.71RES $78.98$62.052026-05-082026-06-182026-08-072026-09-182026-11-01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NFLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-1.11% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFLX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NFLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NFLX)

Communication Services Rank #8 of 37 ⚔️ VZ vs NFLX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NFLX vs. VZ, TMUS, T, SPOT)

Industry: Global Streaming Entertainment & Ad-Supported Video (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 37 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #3 by equity capitalization ($254.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, T leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while NFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.9% ROIC and 50.7% gross margin. SPOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NFLX at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NFLX ACTIVE
Netflix, Inc.
C+ 67/100 17.3x 50.7% 33.9% +0.10% $254.80B Benchmark Subject
VZ
Verizon Communications Inc.
D+ 57/100 10.3x — 8.5% +1.11% $181.40B /vz-vs-nflx →
TMUS
T-Mobile US Inc.
D+ 53/100 14.2x — 10.7% -0.53% $156.02B /tmus-vs-nflx →
T
AT&T Inc.
D+ 55/100 6.4x — 6.7% +1.06% $140.93B /t-vs-nflx →
SPOT
Spotify Technology S.A.
B- 70/100 32.8x — 9.9% +3.50% $117.43B /spot-vs-nflx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2021–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-23 • CIK 0001065280

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-23), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) reported GAAP revenue of $45.18B (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $39.00B , and +52.1% cumulative change since FY2021) , GAAP net income of $10.98B, operating cash flow of $10.15B, and free cash flow of $9.46B (+36.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NFLX closed FY2025 with $55.60B in total assets against $14.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-23 $45.18B $10.98B $10.15B $9.46B $55.60B $14.46B
FY2024 (FY) 2026-01-23 $39.00B $8.71B $7.36B $6.92B $53.63B $15.58B
FY2023 (FY) 2026-01-23 $33.72B $5.41B $7.27B $6.93B $48.73B $14.54B
FY2022 (FY) 2025-01-27 $31.62B $4.49B $2.03B $1.62B $48.59B $14.35B
FY2021 (FY) 2024-01-26 $29.70B $5.12B $392.6M -$132.0M $44.58B $15.39B

3. NFLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NFLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $62.05 (+0.10% 1D, market cap $254.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Active quantitative signal INVERSE_SUIT (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does NFLX compare to VZ and TMUS in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Global Streaming Entertainment & Ad-Supported Video), NFLX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.3x, gross margin of 50.7%, and ROIC of 33.9%. By comparison, VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $181.40B) and TMUS (T-Mobile US Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $156.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, T leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while NFLX leads on capital efficiency (33.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NFLX?

Per NFLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-23, CIK 0001065280), Netflix, Inc. generated $45.18B in revenue (+15.9% YoY), $10.98B in net income, and $9.46B in free cash flow against $55.60B in total assets and $14.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (51% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Latest SEC insider/13F disclosure shows Smith Bradford L (INSIDER) executed a SELL of 17,980 shares ($1.2M) on 2026-10-27.

Where is NFLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NFLX last traded at $62.05 (+0.10% on volume of 45,298,565 shares), positioning the stock -25.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($83.23) and -16.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.27). Across its 52-week range of $16.27 to $134.12, NFLX sits at the 38.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($57.52 to $66.58).

NFLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NFLX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 20, 2027.

How much is NFLX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.3% event move for NFLX, spanning a range between $57.52 and $66.58.