NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.16 -6.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.13

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $135.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NeoVolta Inc. (NASDAQ: NEOV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.16 (-6.09% 1D, market cap $135.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NEOV ranks #330 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEOV compare to HURC and OWLT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEOV carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HURC (Hurco Companies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $144.1M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while BYRN leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEOV?
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Per NEOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748137), NeoVolta Inc. generated $8.4M in revenue (+218.6% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$4.4M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.13 (-1.29%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.4% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NEOV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEOV SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$2.61-16.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$2.18-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$2.16+0% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$2.16-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEOV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEOV currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.93) and Max Pain ($2.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NEOV Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.16: 4629.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.56
$7,222
$-2,778 (-27.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.00
$9,259
$-741 (-7.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.49
$34,676
+$24,676 (+246.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEOV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEOV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NEOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.95%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.22H $2.29L $2.11C $2.16VOL 673.4K
RES: $5.06SUP: $2.05SMA50: $2.93SMA200: $3.01
$4.56$3.69$2.83$1.96$1.09RES $5.06SUP $2.05$2.162026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEOV)

Industrials Rank #330 of 485 ⚔️ HURC vs NEOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NEOV vs. HURC, OWLT, BYRN, CODA)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) ranks #330 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #366 by equity capitalization ($135.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BYRN leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while BYRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 60.5% gross margin. CODA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with NEOV at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEOV ACTIVE
NeoVolta Inc.
D- 42/100 — 17.9% -35.0% -6.09% $135.7M Benchmark Subject
HURC
Hurco Companies Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 18.5% -5.5% -0.90% $144.1M /hurc-vs-neov →
OWLT
Owlet Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 50.9% -35.0% -3.34% $122.4M /owlt-vs-neov →
BYRN
Byrna Technologies Inc.
D+ 58/100 11.5x 60.5% 18.0% -9.66% $111.4M /byrn-vs-neov →
CODA
Coda Octopus Group Inc.
B+ 78/100 26.1x 66.5% 12.0% -5.49% $108.0M /coda-vs-neov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001748137

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.4M (+218.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M , and +143.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.0M, operating cash flow of -$4.4M, and free cash flow of -$4.4M (-335.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEOV closed FY2025 with $10.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.21, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $8.4M -$5.0M -$4.4M -$4.4M $10.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $2.6M -$2.3M -$1.0M -$1.0M $4.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $3.5M -$2.6M -$2.1M -$2.1M — —

3. NEOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NeoVolta Inc. (NASDAQ: NEOV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.16 (-6.09% 1D, market cap $135.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NEOV ranks #330 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEOV compare to HURC and OWLT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEOV carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HURC (Hurco Companies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $144.1M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while BYRN leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEOV?

Per NEOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748137), NeoVolta Inc. generated $8.4M in revenue (+218.6% YoY), -$5.0M in net income, and -$4.4M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEOV last traded at $2.16 (-6.09% on volume of 677,388 shares), positioning the stock -26.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.93) and -28.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.01). Across its 52-week range of $1.36 to $7.13, NEOV sits at the 13.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.89 to $2.43).

NEOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NEOV's 12-month stock price target?

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2 (-7.4% from $2.16), with a bull-case target of $7.49 and a bear-case floor of $1.56.

Is NEOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NEOV D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 42/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEOV — NeoVolta Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T15:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) carries a composite score of 42/100 (D- — Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) at a current price of $2.16 (-6.09%). Fundamental cash generation scores 8/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -3.26%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 10/20, insider conviction scores 3/20, macro regime alignment scores 10/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 11/20 (Altman Z-Score 11.21, Piotroski F-Score 3/9).

Investor Implication: At current trailing P/E and current forward P/E within Industrial Machinery/Components, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (-56.0%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $1.36 – $7.13.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), NEOV is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin 17.9%), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

NEOV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEOV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 39d ago
NeoVolta Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

NeoVolta (NASDAQ:NEOV) said fiscal 2026 marked a strategic shift from a primarily residential battery-storage provider toward a broader energy-storage platform spanning residential, commercial and industrial, and utility

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEOV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.16?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEOV 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEOV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.90 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEOV (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $2.16?

Welcome to the NEOV (NeoVolta Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.73 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $2.16

Pump the brakes on NEOV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEOV, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 17.9% gross margins. Unless NeoVolta Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.76 (+27.8%)
Spot @ $2.16

NEOV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEOV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.16 (52-wk range $1.36 - $7.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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