CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why NDLS Stock surged +7.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$15.58 +7.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.76
Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $93.0M
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Is NDLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Noodles & Company (Class A) (NASDAQ: NDLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $15.58 (+7.52% 1D, market cap $93.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NDLS ranks #891 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NDLS compare to BDL and MB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NDLS carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BDL (Flanigan's Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 21.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.6M) and MB (MasterBeef Group) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDL leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NDLS?
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Per NDLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001275158), Noodles & Company (Class A) generated $495.1M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$42.6M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $261.7M in total assets and $108.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.76 (+1.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NDLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NDLS SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$14.22-1.8% Next Q
28
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$13.97-17.3% Next Q
31
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$11.56+34.8% Next Q
33
CurrentGrade D-$15.58-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: E (28) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NDLS Turnaround Squeeze
While NDLS currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.84) and Max Pain ($16.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NDLS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NDLS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NDLS Stock surged +7.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) surged +7.52% to $15.58, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($3.57 – $19). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($3.57 – $19) with RSI-14 at 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NDLS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NDLS)
- ✓Walkthrough of NDLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NDLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.06%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $15.50H $15.80L $14.84C $15.58VOL 48.4K
RES: $14.91SUP: $11.62SMA50: $13.84SMA200: $11.31
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NDLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NDLS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NDLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NDLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NDLS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #891 of 1011
⚔️ BDL vs NDLS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NDLS vs. BDL, MB, GENK, RRGB)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) ranks #891 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #762 by equity capitalization ($93.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BDL leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while BDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with NDLS at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDLS
ACTIVE
Noodles & Company (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.52% | $93.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BDL Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 21.4x | — | 8.2% | +7.62% | $107.6M | /bdl-vs-ndls → |
| MB MasterBeef Group | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -7.77% | $65.2M | /mb-vs-ndls → |
| GENK GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.88% | $56.9M | /genk-vs-ndls → |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 5.7% | +3.78% | $176.4M | /rrgb-vs-ndls → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0001275158In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) reported GAAP revenue of $495.1M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $493.3M , and -1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$42.6M, operating cash flow of $7.3M, and free cash flow of -$5.1M (+75.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NDLS closed FY2025 with $261.7M in total assets against $108.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.26, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-30 | $495.1M | -$42.6M | $7.3M | -$5.1M | $261.7M | $108.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $493.3M | -$36.2M | $7.6M | -$21.2M | $324.6M | $100.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-02 | $503.4M | -$9.9M | $27.5M | $27.5M | — | — |
3. NDLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NDLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Noodles & Company (Class A) (NASDAQ: NDLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $15.58 (+7.52% 1D, market cap $93.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NDLS ranks #891 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NDLS compare to BDL and MB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NDLS carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BDL (Flanigan's Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 21.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.6M) and MB (MasterBeef Group) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDL leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NDLS?
Per NDLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001275158), Noodles & Company (Class A) generated $495.1M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$42.6M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $261.7M in total assets and $108.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NDLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NDLS last traded at $15.58 (+7.52% on volume of 71,845 shares), positioning the stock +12.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.84) and +37.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $19.00, NDLS sits at the 77.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.63 to $17.53).
NDLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NDLS stock moving today?
Why NDLS Stock surged +7.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.