Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NDLS / forecast

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Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.58 +7.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.76

Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $93.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.76 (+1.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NDLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NDLS SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$14.22-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$13.97-17.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.56+34.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$15.58-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (28) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NDLS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NDLS currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.84) and Max Pain ($16.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NDLS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NDLS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NDLS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.58: 641.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.95

$7,028

$-2,972 (-29.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.04

$9,012

$-988 (-9.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.95

$12,805

+$2,805 (+28.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$19	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NDLS)

✓Walkthrough of NDLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NDLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.06%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $15.50H $15.80L $14.84C $15.58VOL 48.4K

RES: $14.91SUP: $11.62SMA50: $13.84SMA200: $11.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NDLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NDLS Butterfly Map → + Track NDLS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NDLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NDLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NDLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NDLS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #891 of 1011 ⚔️ BDL vs NDLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NDLS vs. BDL, MB, GENK, RRGB)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) ranks #891 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #762 by equity capitalization ($93.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BDL leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while BDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with NDLS at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NDLS ACTIVE Noodles & Company (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.52%	$93.0M	Benchmark Subject
BDL Flanigan's Enterprises Inc.	B-	71/100	21.4x	—	8.2%	+7.62%	$107.6M	/bdl-vs-ndls →
MB MasterBeef Group	D	48/100	—	—	—	-7.77%	$65.2M	/mb-vs-ndls →
GENK GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.88%	$56.9M	/genk-vs-ndls →
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	5.7%	+3.78%	$176.4M	/rrgb-vs-ndls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0001275158

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) reported GAAP revenue of $495.1M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $493.3M , and -1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$42.6M, operating cash flow of $7.3M, and free cash flow of -$5.1M (+75.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NDLS closed FY2025 with $261.7M in total assets against $108.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.26, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-30	$495.1M	-$42.6M	$7.3M	-$5.1M	$261.7M	$108.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$493.3M	-$36.2M	$7.6M	-$21.2M	$324.6M	$100.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-02	$503.4M	-$9.9M	$27.5M	$27.5M	—	—

3. NDLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NDLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Noodles & Company (Class A) (NASDAQ: NDLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $15.58 (+7.52% 1D, market cap $93.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NDLS ranks #891 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NDLS compare to BDL and MB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NDLS carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BDL (Flanigan's Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 21.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.6M) and MB (MasterBeef Group) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $65.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDL leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NDLS?

Per NDLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001275158), Noodles & Company (Class A) generated $495.1M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$42.6M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $261.7M in total assets and $108.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NDLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NDLS last traded at $15.58 (+7.52% on volume of 71,845 shares), positioning the stock +12.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.84) and +37.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.31). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $19.00, NDLS sits at the 77.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.63 to $17.53).

NDLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NDLS's 12-month stock price target?

Noodles & Company (Class A) (NDLS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.04 (-9.9% from $15.58), with a bull-case target of $19.95 and a bear-case floor of $10.95.

Is NDLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NDLS D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 36/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NDLS RQD Cockpit NDLS 12M Forecast NDLS Earnings & Move NDLS Dividends & DRIP NDLS Insiders & 13F NDLS Whale Options NDLS Profit Sankey NDLS News & Why