NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.20 -1.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.20

NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $139.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NovaBridge Biosciences (NASDAQ: NBP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.20 (-1.24% 1D, market cap $139.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NBP ranks #584 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NBP compare to RNA and MENS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NBP carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RNA (Atrium Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $141.3M) and MENS (Jyong Biotech Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.8%, cap $142.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MENS leads on capital efficiency (-28.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBP?
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Per NBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001778016), NovaBridge Biosciences generated $0 in revenue, -$46.3M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $260.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.20 (-0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.2% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NBP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NBP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NBP SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$1.32-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.30-6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$1.22-1.6% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.20-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NBP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NBP currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.50) and Max Pain ($1.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NBP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NBP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.15 Expected Swing
$1.05 (-12.5%)Spot $1.20$1.35 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NBP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 38/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (38/100)Model Risk Weight (62/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$46.3M-$41.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$22.2M-$20.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$632.0K-$207.7M-$183.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NBP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NBP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NBP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1.21H $1.21L $1.15C $1.20VOL 420.9K
RES: $1.34SUP: $1.17SMA50: $1.50SMA200: $2.17
$3.86$3.12$2.39$1.66$0.92RES $1.34SUP $1.17$1.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NBP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NBP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NBP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NBP)

Health Care Rank #584 of 1016 ⚔️ RNA vs NBP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NBP vs. RNA, MENS, KZIA, OGI)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP) ranks #584 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #618 by equity capitalization ($139.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.8% ROIC and — gross margin. OGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NBP at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NBP ACTIVE
NovaBridge Biosciences
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.24% $139.6M Benchmark Subject
RNA
Atrium Therapeutics Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — — +0.12% $141.3M /rna-vs-nbp →
MENS
Jyong Biotech Ltd.
E 33/100 — — -28.8% 0.00% $142.9M /mens-vs-nbp →
KZIA
Kazia Therapeutics Limited
C- 61/100 — — — -2.52% $135.6M /kzia-vs-nbp →
OGI
Organigram Global Inc.
C 62/100 — — — -2.85% $135.4M /ogi-vs-nbp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001778016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.3M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, NBP closed FY2025 with $260.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$46.3M — — $260.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$22.2M — — $212.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $632.0K -$207.7M -$183.8M -$183.8M — —

3. NBP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NovaBridge Biosciences (NASDAQ: NBP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.20 (-1.24% 1D, market cap $139.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NBP ranks #584 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NBP compare to RNA and MENS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NBP carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RNA (Atrium Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $141.3M) and MENS (Jyong Biotech Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.8%, cap $142.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MENS leads on capital efficiency (-28.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBP?

Per NBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001778016), NovaBridge Biosciences generated $0 in revenue, -$46.3M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $260.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NBP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NBP last traded at $1.20 (-1.24% on volume of 583,248 shares), positioning the stock -20.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.50) and -44.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $5.19, NBP sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.05 to $1.35).

NBP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NBP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NBP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NBP, spanning a range between $1.05 and $1.35.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NBP — NovaBridge Biosciences: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NBP scores 38 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 7 out of 20, reflecting a ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%, which indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 6 out of 20, pointing to institutional accumulation and options positioning that is weak relative to the maximum. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 1/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the balance-sheet cushion and the recent licensing catalyst rather than on current profitability. The valuation tradeoff is stark: with no reported revenue in FY 2025 and an operating loss of $-94.3M, traditional earnings-based valuation is not applicable from the source data, and the stock's market capitalization of $139.6M sits against reported cash of $210.6M, a relationship an investor should examine directly. The weakest pillars (fundamental cash engine and insider conviction) are the ones most tied to whether the company can convert its cash into durable operations, so the investment case depends heavily on that conversion. This analysis is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-94.3M$-46.3MN/AN/A$210.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-51.4M$-22.2MN/AN/A$68.3MN/A
FY 2023$0.6M$-72.0M$-207.7MN/A$-183.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose from $68.3M in FY 2024 to $210.6M in FY 2025 while operating losses widened from $-51.4M to $-94.3M. The Piotroski score of 1/9 signals weak financial-quality signals across the nine tests, and the Altman Z of 2.5 is reported within the source data without a stated zone classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most significant item is a CATALYST-tagged (GREEN) report that the company's subsidiary Visara gains exclusive rights outside Greater China to investigational eye drug VIS-102. The remaining five items are MARKET WIRE (YELLOW) reports covering price action and institutional positioning, including a headline noting a finance chief with over 25 years in biotech and investing is set to join NovaBridge, and a headline noting shares edging higher to $1.25 as buyers test $1.31 resistance. The source for that price-action item is labeled as an unrelated website, so its reliability as a technical signal is limited. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Risk watch items include the sustained operating losses, the 52-week trading range of $1.15 - $5.19 with the current price of 1.16 near the low end, and the -3.33% daily change.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model, and what specific products or licensed assets generate or are expected to generate revenue beyond the $0.6M reported in FY 2023?
  • What is the cash runway implied by the reported $210.6M in cash against the FY 2025 operating loss of $-94.3M, and what drove the increase in cash from $68.3M in FY 2024?
  • What are the terms, counterparties, and milestones of the VIS-102 exclusive rights arrangement, and how material is it to the balance sheet?
  • What is the company's debt position, given that the debt line is reported as N/A while Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the analyst ratings and price targets, given that both sections are empty in the source data?

NBP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NBP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NBP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.20?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NBP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NBP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.06 (-12.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NBP (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $1.21?

Welcome to the NBP (NovaBridge Biosciences) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.94 (-22.3%)
Spot @ $1.21

Pump the brakes on NBP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NBP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless NovaBridge Biosciences expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (+24.8%)
Spot @ $1.21

NBP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NBP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.21 (52-wk range $1.10 - $1.36), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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