Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.50 -2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.45

Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $135.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KZIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Kazia Therapeutics Limited (NASDAQ: KZIA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $8.50 (-2.52% 1D, market cap $135.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KZIA ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KZIA compare to OGI and SPRB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KZIA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OGI (Organigram Global Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $135.4M) and SPRB (Spruce Biosciences Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $134.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KZIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPRB leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KZIA?
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For Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #170 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.45 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE KZIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KZIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KZIA SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$8.81-10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$7.85+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$7.87+8% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$8.50+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KZIA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, KZIA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.13) or 200D SMA ($10.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.61) toward Bear Floor ($6.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KZIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KZIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $5$8.50H: $17
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on KZIA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KZIA
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KZIA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KZIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $8.63H $8.75L $8.35C $8.50VOL 19.4K
RES: $18.39SUP: $5.47SMA50: $10.13SMA200: $10.55
$17.92$14.86$11.79$8.73$5.67RES $18.39SUP $5.47$8.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KZIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KZIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KZIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KZIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KZIA)

Health Care Rank #170 of 1016 ⚔️ OGI vs KZIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KZIA vs. OGI, SPRB, CATX, NBP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #622 by equity capitalization ($135.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KZIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPRB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with KZIA at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KZIA ACTIVE
Kazia Therapeutics Limited
C- 61/100 — — — -2.52% $135.6M Benchmark Subject
OGI
Organigram Global Inc.
C 62/100 — — — -2.85% $135.4M /ogi-vs-kzia →
SPRB
Spruce Biosciences Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -0.92% $134.6M /sprb-vs-kzia →
CATX
Perspective Therapeutics Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -1.71% $133.6M /catx-vs-kzia →
NBP
NovaBridge Biosciences
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.24% $139.6M /nbp-vs-kzia →

2. KZIA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) operates in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $135.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. KZIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KZIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Kazia Therapeutics Limited (NASDAQ: KZIA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $8.50 (-2.52% 1D, market cap $135.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KZIA ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KZIA compare to OGI and SPRB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KZIA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OGI (Organigram Global Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $135.4M) and SPRB (Spruce Biosciences Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $134.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KZIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPRB leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KZIA?

For Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #170 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KZIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KZIA last traded at $8.50 (-2.52% on volume of 230,442 shares), positioning the stock -16.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.13) and -19.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.55). Across its 52-week range of $4.86 to $17.40, KZIA sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.44 to $9.56).

KZIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KZIA stock right now?

Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is KZIA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KZIA's 12-month base price target is $8.61 (range $6.72 to $18.27), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KZIA — Kazia Therapeutics Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:18:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 61, graded C- and labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the cash-generation pillar is the weakest of the fundamental inputs in the rating: the source data shows no return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield to anchor valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score can be read as moderate institutional interest without the specifics behind it.
  • Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest pillar score, suggesting insider and congressional activity provides limited conviction support in this rating.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-matching sensitivity to broad moves, which is a neutral macro posture rather than a defensive or aggressive one.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are the strongest pillar inputs and indicate a balance sheet that is more stable than the cash-generation pillar alone would suggest.

Taken together, the rating frames KZIA as a stock where balance-sheet forensics are the most supportive element, while cash generation and insider conviction are the weakest. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed directly because P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data, so upside claims must be weighed against the absence of earnings-based valuation anchors.

Business

Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. Its market capitalization is $0.1B per the company profile. Products sold, customer base, and revenue model are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Green catalysts: A TradingView report (per the news feed) carries the headline "Kazia Therapeutics Limited Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $31.83, Implies 308% Upside" (flagged GREEN, CATALYST). A Benzinga report flags a bullish analyst initiation (GREEN, CATALYST). A Seeking Alpha report notes Guggenheim starting coverage at Buy (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • Yellow market-wire items: A StockInvest.us forecast piece (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) and a MarketScreener notice that 5,713,449,734 Ordinary Shares are subject to a Lock-Up Agreement ending 28-OCT-2026 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Red risk-watch item: A Stock Titan report that a live webcast will carry Kazia executives' Nov. 9 conference chat (RED, RISK WATCH). The feed labels this as risk-watch, but the headline itself does not state the nature of the risk.
  • Proprietary signals: None. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

The lock-up expiry on 28-OCT-2026 is noteworthy relative to the data date of 2026-11-02, as it falls before the as-of date.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is "NONE" and there are no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the Health Care classification, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The one ripple-relevant item is the large lock-up share count noted in the news feed; the scale of that overhang relative to the $0.1B market capitalization is a second-order consideration for float and supply of shares.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, earnings, and cash-flow figures behind the 0% margins and ROIC cited in the RQD rating?
  • Which specific 13F holders and options positions underlie the 12 / 20 whale-flow pillar score?
  • What is the composition and identity of the insider Form 4 and Congressional trades driving the 9 / 20 insider-conviction score?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price-target distribution behind the headline targets in the news feed?
  • What is the nature of the risk flagged in the Stock Titan item, and how does the 5,713,449,734-share lock-up expiry affect float?

KZIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KZIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KZIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.50?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KZIA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KZIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.42 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KZIA (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $8.72?

Welcome to the KZIA (Kazia Therapeutics Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.32 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $8.72

Pump the brakes on KZIA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KZIA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Kazia Therapeutics Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.81 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $8.72

KZIA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KZIA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.72 (52-wk range $7.22 - $9.14), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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