Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.91 -2.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.86

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.72B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NYSE: NAT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-2.47% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NAT ranks #298 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NAT compare to CMRE and SFL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NAT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.9x, gross margin of 62.3%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B) and SFL (SFL Corporation Ltd) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAT?
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Per NAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001000177), Nordic American Tankers Limited generated $291.7M in revenue (-16.6% YoY), $12.3M in net income, and $19.8M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $388.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.86 (-0.63%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (16)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE NAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NAT SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 83% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$8.79-14.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$7.52+5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$7.91+0% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$7.91+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, NAT faces multiple-compression risk if 139.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 140x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.72) or 200D SMA ($6.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.05) toward Bear Floor ($6.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NAT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.91: 1264.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.28
$7,939
$-2,061 (-20.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.05
$10,177
+$177 (+1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.50
$12,010
+$2,010 (+20.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NAT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +37.80%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $7.95H $8.11L $7.91C $7.91VOL 2.69M
RES: $9.28SUP: $7.54SMA50: $7.72SMA200: $6.11
$9.22$7.81$6.40$4.99$3.58RES $9.28SUP $7.54$7.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #298 of 1011 ⚔️ CMRE vs NAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NAT vs. CMRE, SFL, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) ranks #298 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #438 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with NAT at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NAT ACTIVE
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C 62/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -2.47% $1.72B Benchmark Subject
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 55/100 4.8x — 12.8% -1.80% $1.74B /cmre-vs-nat →
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 51/100 — — 3.9% -1.67% $1.75B /sfl-vs-nat →
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -1.21% $1.64B /ten-vs-nat →
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 46/100 20.7x — 6.9% -0.98% $1.55B /flng-vs-nat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001000177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) reported GAAP revenue of $291.7M (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $349.7M , and -25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.3M, operating cash flow of $19.8M, and free cash flow of $19.8M (-84.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAT closed FY2025 with $902.2M in total assets against $388.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $291.7M $12.3M $19.8M $19.8M $902.2M $388.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $349.7M $46.6M $128.2M $128.2M $817.6M $248.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $391.7M $98.7M $139.4M $139.4M — —

3. NAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NYSE: NAT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-2.47% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NAT ranks #298 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NAT compare to CMRE and SFL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NAT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.9x, gross margin of 62.3%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B) and SFL (SFL Corporation Ltd) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAT?

Per NAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001000177), Nordic American Tankers Limited generated $291.7M in revenue (-16.6% YoY), $12.3M in net income, and $19.8M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $388.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NAT last traded at $7.91 (-2.47% on volume of 3,784,704 shares), positioning the stock +2.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.72) and +29.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.11). Across its 52-week range of $3.33 to $8.88, NAT sits at the 82.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($7.23 to $8.59).

NAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NAT's 12-month stock price target?

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.05 (+1.8% from $7.91), with a bull-case target of $9.5 and a bear-case floor of $6.28.

Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NAT C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NAT — Nordic American Tankers Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NAT scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 11 out of 20, with ROIC of 4.6% and FCF yield of 1.15%, indicating that the cash generated relative to capital and price is modest. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 16 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning as a relative strength. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 9 out of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow that the rating treats as a weaker signal. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 14 out of 20, consistent with a Beta of 1.0 and the sector sensitivity noted in the rating. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 12 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.87. For a prospective investor, the rating frames NAT as a balanced setup: institutional interest and balance-sheet strength offset thin cash-return metrics and a very elevated earnings multiple. Upside depends on sustained cash conversion improving relative to the current valuation; the valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 139.9 and EV/EBITDA of 44.5 leave limited margin for error if earnings do not expand.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$8.11$1.72B139.9130.144.50.064.44%1.0$3.33 - $8.884.6%

Business

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports revenue, operating income, and free cash flow, but the source data does not describe its specific customers, vessel types, or charter structure. Revenue generation is therefore only described at the level of reported totals. Not available in source data for detailed revenue-mix or customer breakdown.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$291.7M$46.3M$12.3MN/A$19.8M$45.9M$388.7M
FY 2024$349.7M$77.3M$46.6MN/A$128.2M$39.2M$248.1M
FY 2023$391.7M$127.9M$98.7MN/A$139.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $391.7M in FY 2023 to $291.7M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $98.7M to $12.3M over the same span. Market data reports a gross margin of 62.3%, operating margin of 15.9%, and net margin of 4.2%, with ROIC of 4.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z is 2.5 and the Piotroski F is 7/9. Debt rose from $248.1M in FY 2024 to $388.7M in FY 2025 while cash was $45.9M, and Debt/Equity is 0.87 per the rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference NAT. Headlines cover Zacks earnings narrative discussion, a Seeking Alpha rating upgrade titled around charter performance, a StockInvest.us price forecast, a MarketBeat report of a 4% share gain, a Seeking Alpha piece referencing a 13% yield, and a Globe and Mail breakout-stock mention. The feed tags one item as a CATALYST (the rating upgrade) and the remainder as MARKET WIRE items, with light signals of five YELLOW and one GREEN. Risk watch items include the increase in debt and decline in net income visible in the SEC financials. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). No sector correlation or bottleneck data is provided in the source. Not available in source data for upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of NAT's revenue by vessel type, charter structure, and customer, and how much of FY 2025 revenue was contracted versus spot?
  • Why did debt increase from $248.1M to $388.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what are the maturity schedule and interest cost of that debt?
  • What explains the gap between the 4.2% net margin and the 62.3% gross margin, and how much of the earnings decline is cyclical versus structural?
  • What are the reported EPS figures for each fiscal year, since the financial data lists EPS as N/A?
  • What holdings changes and analyst price targets exist, given that the holder and analyst sections are empty in the source data?

NAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NAT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NAT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.76 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NAT (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $8.11?

Welcome to the NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (139.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.41 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.11

Pump the brakes on NAT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NAT, but look at what you are paying: 139.9x trailing P/E with 62.3% gross margins. Unless Nordic American Tankers Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.25 (+14.1%)
Spot @ $8.11

NAT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NAT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.11 (52-wk range $3.33 - $8.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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