Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NAT / dividends

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Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$8.11 +2.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.12

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.12 (+0.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NAT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$8.47-9.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$7.66+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$7.86+3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.11-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, NAT faces multiple-compression risk if 139.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 140x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.69) or 200D SMA ($6.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.04) toward Bear Floor ($6.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

5.04% Total Yield

4.44% Cash ($0.36/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $22,610

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,140/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.8K

Yr 1

$11.8K

Yr 2

$12.8K

Yr 3

$13.9K

Yr 4

$15.0K

Yr 5

$16.3K

Yr 6

$17.7K

Yr 7

$19.2K

Yr 8

$20.8K

Yr 9

$22.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAT)

✓Walkthrough of NAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +45.34%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $8.04H $8.11L $7.86C $8.11VOL 3.78M

RES: $9.25SUP: $7.52SMA50: $7.69SMA200: $6.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NAT Butterfly Map → + Track NAT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #509 of 1011 ⚔️ CMRE vs NAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NAT vs. CMRE, SFL, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) ranks #509 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #438 by equity capitalization ($1.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NAT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NAT ACTIVE Nordic American Tankers Limited	D+	56/100	139.9x	62.3%	4.6%	+2.01%	$1.72B	Benchmark Subject
CMRE Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value	D+	56/100	4.8x	—	12.8%	-2.44%	$1.74B	/cmre-vs-nat →
SFL SFL Corporation Ltd	D	47/100	—	—	3.9%	+3.05%	$1.75B	/sfl-vs-nat →
TEN Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd	C	62/100	10.2x	—	6.6%	+1.34%	$1.64B	/ten-vs-nat →
FLNG FLEX LNG Ltd.	D	49/100	20.7x	—	6.9%	+1.34%	$1.55B	/flng-vs-nat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001000177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) reported GAAP revenue of $291.7M (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $349.7M , and -25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.3M, operating cash flow of $19.8M, and free cash flow of $19.8M (-84.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAT closed FY2025 with $902.2M in total assets against $388.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$291.7M	$12.3M	$19.8M	$19.8M	$902.2M	$388.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$349.7M	$46.6M	$128.2M	$128.2M	$817.6M	$248.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$391.7M	$98.7M	$139.4M	$139.4M	—	—

3. NAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NYSE: NAT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $8.11 (+2.01% 1D, market cap $1.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NAT ranks #509 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NAT compare to CMRE and SFL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), NAT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.9x, gross margin of 62.3%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B) and SFL (SFL Corporation Ltd) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAT?

Per NAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001000177), Nordic American Tankers Limited generated $291.7M in revenue (-16.6% YoY), $12.3M in net income, and $19.8M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $388.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NAT last traded at $8.11 (+2.01% on volume of 2,686,271 shares), positioning the stock +5.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.69) and +33.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.09). Across its 52-week range of $3.33 to $8.88, NAT sits at the 86.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($7.37 to $8.85).

NAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NAT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) offers a 4.44% cash dividend yield ($0.36 annualized) and 5.04% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: NAT RQD Cockpit NAT 12M Forecast NAT Earnings & Move NAT Dividends & DRIP NAT Insiders & 13F NAT Whale Options NAT Profit Sankey NAT News & Why