Stock Ratings / Technology / NANO / forecast

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Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is NANO's 12-month stock price target?

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.16 (+0% from $4.16), with a bull-case target of $12.56 and a bear-case floor of $3.24.

Q: Is NANO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NANO D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

$4.16 -1.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.14

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $535.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.14 (-0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NANO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NANO SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$10.69-13.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$9.29-34% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.13-32.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.16+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NANO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, NANO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.74) or 200D SMA ($10.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.16) toward Bear Floor ($3.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NANO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NANO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NANO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.16: 2403.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.24

$7,788

$-2,212 (-22.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.16

$10,000

+$0 (+0.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.56

$30,192

+$20,192 (+201.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$4	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$12	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$4	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NANO)

✓Walkthrough of NANO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NANO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.94%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $3.90H $4.23L $3.70C $4.16VOL 204.5K

RES: $11.99SUP: $10.10SMA50: $9.74SMA200: $10.46

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NANO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NANO Butterfly Map → + Track NANO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NANO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NANO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NANO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NANO)

Technology Rank #280 of 714 ⚔️ VREX vs NANO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NANO vs. VREX, ERII, MPTI, ASYS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #414 by equity capitalization ($535.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERII leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ERII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with NANO at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NANO ACTIVE Forge Nano Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$535.2M	Benchmark Subject
VREX Varex Imaging Corporation	D+	52/100	—	34.4%	-3.0%	-0.05%	$776.3M	/vrex-vs-nano →
ERII Energy Recovery Inc.	B	72/100	15.8x	65.1%	11.9%	+2.45%	$363.4M	/erii-vs-nano →
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	C+	66/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-nano →
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc.	D	45/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	/asys-vs-nano →

2. NANO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $535.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NANO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NANO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: NANO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.16 (-1.42% 1D, market cap $535.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NANO ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NANO compare to VREX and ERII in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NANO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VREX (Varex Imaging Corporation) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $776.3M) and ERII (Energy Recovery Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $363.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NANO?

For Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #280 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NANO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NANO last traded at $4.16 (-1.42% on volume of 432,972 shares), positioning the stock -57.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.74) and -60.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.46). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $11.96, NANO sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.64 to $4.68).

NANO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NANO's 12-month stock price target?

Forge Nano Holdings Inc. (NANO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.16 (+0% from $4.16), with a bull-case target of $12.56 and a bear-case floor of $3.24.

Is NANO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NANO D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NANO RQD Cockpit NANO 12M Forecast NANO Earnings & Move NANO Dividends & DRIP NANO Insiders & 13F NANO Whale Options NANO Profit Sankey NANO News & Why