Stock Ratings / Health Care / NAGE / options

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Niagen Bioscience Inc. (NAGE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.50 -1.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.49

Niagen Bioscience Inc. (NAGE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $197.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NAGE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NAGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Niagen Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ: NAGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $2.50 (-1.57% 1D, market cap $197.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NAGE compare to GLAS and MDWD in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), NAGE carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.4x, gross margin of 64.3%, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GLAS (Glass House Brands Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.2%, cap $200.6M) and MDWD (MediWound Ltd.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $178.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAGE leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while NAGE leads on capital efficiency (16.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAGE?

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Per NAGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386570), Niagen Bioscience Inc. generated $129.4M in revenue (+29.9% YoY), $17.4M in net income, and $13.5M in free cash flow against $106.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.49 (-0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NAGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NAGE SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.40 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$2.63-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$2.50-2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.44+2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.50-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NAGE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NAGE faces multiple-compression risk if 11.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 61.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.84) or 200D SMA ($3.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.49) toward Bear Floor ($1.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NAGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NAGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NAGE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NAGE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAGE)

✓Walkthrough of NAGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NAGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $2.54H $2.54L $2.50C $2.50VOL 348.4K

RES: $2.69SUP: $2.13SMA50: $2.84SMA200: $3.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NAGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NAGE Butterfly Map → + Track NAGE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAGE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NAGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAGE)

Health Care Rank #212 of 1016 ⚔️ GLAS vs NAGE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NAGE vs. GLAS, MDWD, ACB, USNA)

Industry: Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Niagen Bioscience Inc. (NAGE) ranks #212 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #580 by equity capitalization ($197.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAGE leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while NAGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.8% ROIC and 64.3% gross margin. NAGE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NAGE ACTIVE Niagen Bioscience Inc.	D+	57/100	11.4x	64.3%	16.8%	-1.57%	$197.8M	Benchmark Subject
GLAS Glass House Brands Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	E	18/100	—	42.3%	-9.2%	+1.33%	$200.6M	/glas-vs-nage →
MDWD MediWound Ltd.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+2.21%	$178.9M	/mdwd-vs-nage →
ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$252.8M	/acb-vs-nage →
USNA USANA Health Sciences Inc.	D	50/100	24.6x	78.3%	7.9%	-1.91%	$265.0M	/usna-vs-nage →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386570

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Niagen Bioscience Inc. (NAGE) reported GAAP revenue of $129.4M (+29.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $99.6M , and +54.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.4M, operating cash flow of $13.5M, and free cash flow of $13.5M (+11.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAGE closed FY2025 with $106.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.40, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$129.4M	$17.4M	$13.5M	$13.5M	$106.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$99.6M	$8.6M	$12.1M	$12.1M	$68.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$83.6M	-$4.9M	$7.1M	$7.1M	—	—

3. NAGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NAGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NAGE compare to GLAS and MDWD in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAGE?

Where is NAGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NAGE last traded at $2.50 (-1.57% on volume of 348,392 shares), positioning the stock -11.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.84) and -35.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.90). Across its 52-week range of $2.32 to $7.95, NAGE sits at the 3.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($2.32 to $2.68).

NAGE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NAGE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NAGE.

Direct Sub-Reports: NAGE RQD Cockpit NAGE 12M Forecast NAGE Earnings & Move NAGE Dividends & DRIP NAGE Insiders & 13F NAGE Whale Options NAGE Profit Sankey NAGE News & Why