Stephens & Co. analyst Jim Salera maintains The Marzetti (NASDAQ:MZTI) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $140 to $135.
Why MZTI Stock advanced +0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Marzetti Company (MZTI) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($203.5M FCF) & 23.9% Gross Margin
FRED Regime × Technicals: 15% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MZTI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, MZTI faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($105.10) or 200D SMA ($124.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($117.96) toward Bear Floor ($89.48).
Why MZTI Stock advanced +0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Marzetti Company (MZTI) advanced +0.66% to $109.12, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($97 – $176.26). High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($97 – $176.26) with RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $109.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 23.9% gross margin and $203.5M annual free cash flow.
WESTERVILLE, Ohio, October 26, 2026--The Marzetti Company (Nasdaq: MZTI) today announced that Mark Christenson has been named President of its Retail business, effective October 26, 2026. Christenson will lead sales, mar
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MZTI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
MZTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MZTI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MZTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MZTI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MZTI vs. FRPT, POST, UTZ, NOMD)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marzetti Company (MZTI) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #49 by equity capitalization ($2.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POST leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. MZTI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MZTI
ACTIVE
The Marzetti Company | B+ | 76/100 | 17.8x | 23.9% | 20.9% | +0.66% | $2.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| FRPT Freshpet Inc. | C | 64/100 | 22.8x | 40.8% | 6.4% | +1.63% | $3.18B | /frpt-vs-mzti → |
| POST Post Holdings Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 10.7x | 28.7% | 5.9% | +1.71% | $3.59B | /post-vs-mzti → |
| UTZ Utz Brands Inc (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | 24.9% | 1.1% | -0.07% | $2.06B | /utz-vs-mzti → |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Limited | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +1.02% | $1.69B | /nomd-vs-mzti → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000057515In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marzetti Company (MZTI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.87B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.3M, operating cash flow of $261.5M, and free cash flow of $203.5M (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MZTI closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $1.91B | $167.3M | $261.5M | $203.5M | $1.33B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $1.87B | $158.6M | $251.6M | $184.0M | $1.24B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $1.82B | $111.3M | $225.9M | $225.9M | — | — |
3. MZTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $109.12 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.18B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?
Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MZTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MZTI last traded at $109.12 (+0.66% on volume of 323,345 shares), positioning the stock +3.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.10) and -12.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($124.70). Across its 52-week range of $97.00 to $176.26, MZTI sits at the 15.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($103.01 to $115.23).
MZTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MZTI stock moving today?
Why MZTI Stock advanced +0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.