Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / MZTI / forecast

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The Marzetti Company (MZTI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$109.12 +0.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $109.04

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.98B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MZTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $109.12 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.18B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?

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Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $109.04 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 10.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MZTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MZTI SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($203.5M FCF) & 23.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$101.22+3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$104.86+4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$109.03+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$109.12+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MZTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MZTI faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($105.05) or 200D SMA ($124.39) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($112.56) toward Bear Floor ($87.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MZTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MZTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MZTI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $109.12: 91.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $87.80

$8,046

$-1,954 (-19.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $112.56

$10,315

+$315 (+3.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $185.07

$16,960

+$6,960 (+69.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$117	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$174	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$100	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MZTI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MZTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $108.4H $109.1L $108.4C $109.1VOL 323.3K

RES: $124.9SUP: $94.74SMA50: $105.1SMA200: $124.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MZTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MZTI Butterfly Map → + Track MZTI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MZTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MZTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MZTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MZTI)

Consumer Staples Rank #27 of 146 ⚔️ FRPT vs MZTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MZTI vs. FRPT, POST, UTZ, NOMD)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marzetti Company (MZTI) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #49 by equity capitalization ($2.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POST leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with MZTI at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MZTI ACTIVE The Marzetti Company	C	65/100	17.8x	23.9%	20.9%	+0.66%	$2.98B	Benchmark Subject
FRPT Freshpet Inc.	C+	68/100	22.8x	40.8%	6.4%	+1.63%	$3.18B	/frpt-vs-mzti →
POST Post Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	10.7x	28.7%	5.9%	+1.71%	$3.59B	/post-vs-mzti →
UTZ Utz Brands Inc (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	24.9%	1.1%	-0.07%	$2.06B	/utz-vs-mzti →
NOMD Nomad Foods Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.02%	$1.69B	/nomd-vs-mzti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000057515

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marzetti Company (MZTI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.87B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.3M, operating cash flow of $261.5M, and free cash flow of $203.5M (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MZTI closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$1.91B	$167.3M	$261.5M	$203.5M	$1.33B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$1.87B	$158.6M	$251.6M	$184.0M	$1.24B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$1.82B	$111.3M	$225.9M	$225.9M	—	—

3. MZTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?

Where is MZTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MZTI last traded at $109.12 (+0.66% on volume of 323,345 shares), positioning the stock +3.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.05) and -12.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($124.39). Across its 52-week range of $97.00 to $176.26, MZTI sits at the 15.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($103.23 to $115.01).

MZTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MZTI's 12-month stock price target?

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $112.56 (+3.2% from $109.12), with a bull-case target of $185.07 and a bear-case floor of $87.8.