Stock Ratings / Materials / MTX / options

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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$61.83 -0.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.69

Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.92B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.69 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MTX SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.2% FCF Margin ($86.6M FCF) & 25% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.52 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$63.60-1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$62.99-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$62.90-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$61.83-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTX currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($66.75) and Max Pain ($64.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $88.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MTX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MTX.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTX)

✓Walkthrough of MTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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MTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $65.77H $66.24L $61.34C $61.83VOL 411.4K

RES: $76.08SUP: $60.90SMA50: $66.75SMA200: $71.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTX Butterfly Map → + Track MTX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTX)

Materials Rank #188 of 270 ⚔️ CC vs MTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MTX vs. CC, STDN, OLN, HUN)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #114 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. STDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MTX at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MTX ACTIVE Minerals Technologies Inc.	D	47/100	—	25.0%	1.6%	-0.16%	$1.92B	Benchmark Subject
CC Chemours Company	D	48/100	—	15.5%	-35.0%	-1.27%	$1.99B	/cc-vs-mtx →
STDN Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.86%	$2.01B	/stdn-vs-mtx →
OLN Olin Corporation	D	48/100	—	7.4%	0.1%	-2.55%	$1.83B	/oln-vs-mtx →
HUN Huntsman Corporation	D	51/100	—	13.2%	-2.6%	-1.54%	$1.57B	/hun-vs-mtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000891014

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.07B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.12B , and -4.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.4M, operating cash flow of $193.7M, and free cash flow of $86.6M (-41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTX closed FY2025 with $3.47B in total assets against $955.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.52, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.07B	-$18.4M	$193.7M	$86.6M	$3.47B	$955.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.12B	$167.1M	$236.4M	$146.9M	$3.39B	$959.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.17B	$84.1M	$233.6M	$233.6M	—	—

3. MTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE: MTX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $61.83 (-0.16% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTX ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTX compare to CC and STDN in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), MTX carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.0%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CC (Chemours Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B) and STDN (Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTX?

Per MTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000891014), Minerals Technologies Inc. generated $2.07B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and $86.6M in free cash flow against $3.47B in total assets and $955.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTX last traded at $61.83 (-0.16% on volume of 302,521 shares), positioning the stock -7.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($66.75) and -13.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.43). Across its 52-week range of $54.65 to $84.34, MTX sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($58.68 to $64.98).

MTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MTX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MTX.

Direct Sub-Reports: MTX RQD Cockpit MTX 12M Forecast MTX Earnings & Move MTX Dividends & DRIP MTX Insiders & 13F MTX Whale Options MTX Profit Sankey MTX News & Why