Stock Ratings / Materials / MTX / earnings

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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$61.83 -0.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.69

Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.92B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.69 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MTX SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.2% FCF Margin ($86.6M FCF) & 25% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.52 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$63.60-1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$62.99-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$62.90-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$61.83-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTX currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($66.75) and Max Pain ($64.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $88.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$3.15 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MTX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.07B	-$18.4M	$86.6M	25%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.12B	$167.1M	$146.9M	25.9%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.17B	$84.1M	$233.6M	25%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTX)

✓Walkthrough of MTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $65.77H $66.24L $61.34C $61.83VOL 411.4K

RES: $76.08SUP: $60.90SMA50: $66.75SMA200: $71.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MTX Butterfly Map → + Track MTX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTX)

Materials Rank #188 of 270 ⚔️ CC vs MTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MTX vs. CC, STDN, OLN, HUN)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #114 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. STDN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MTX at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MTX ACTIVE Minerals Technologies Inc.	D	47/100	—	25.0%	1.6%	-0.16%	$1.92B	Benchmark Subject
CC Chemours Company	D	48/100	—	15.5%	-35.0%	-1.27%	$1.99B	/cc-vs-mtx →
STDN Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.86%	$2.01B	/stdn-vs-mtx →
OLN Olin Corporation	D	48/100	—	7.4%	0.1%	-2.55%	$1.83B	/oln-vs-mtx →
HUN Huntsman Corporation	D	51/100	—	13.2%	-2.6%	-1.54%	$1.57B	/hun-vs-mtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000891014

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) reported GAAP revenue of $2.07B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.12B , and -4.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.4M, operating cash flow of $193.7M, and free cash flow of $86.6M (-41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTX closed FY2025 with $3.47B in total assets against $955.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.52, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.07B	-$18.4M	$193.7M	$86.6M	$3.47B	$955.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.12B	$167.1M	$236.4M	$146.9M	$3.39B	$959.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.17B	$84.1M	$233.6M	$233.6M	—	—

3. MTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE: MTX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $61.83 (-0.16% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTX ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTX compare to CC and STDN in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), MTX carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.0%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, CC (Chemours Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.99B) and STDN (Standard Nuclear Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MTX leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTX?

Per MTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000891014), Minerals Technologies Inc. generated $2.07B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and $86.6M in free cash flow against $3.47B in total assets and $955.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTX last traded at $61.83 (-0.16% on volume of 302,521 shares), positioning the stock -7.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($66.75) and -13.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.43). Across its 52-week range of $54.65 to $84.34, MTX sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($58.68 to $64.98).

MTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MTX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MTX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for MTX, spanning a range between $58.68 and $64.98.

Direct Sub-Reports: MTX RQD Cockpit MTX 12M Forecast MTX Earnings & Move MTX Dividends & DRIP MTX Insiders & 13F MTX Whale Options MTX Profit Sankey MTX News & Why