MMTec Inc. (MTC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.03 -4.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.98

MMTec Inc. (MTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $500.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.98 (-1.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (4)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE MTC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTC SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$4.76+27.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$6.07-10% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$5.46-7.9% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$5.03-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTC currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.06) and Max Pain ($5.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MTC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MTC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.99H $5.07L $4.84C $5.03VOL 3.7K
RES: $7.91SUP: $4.05SMA50: $5.06SMA200: $4.59
$9.26$7.36$5.45$3.55$1.65RES $7.91SUP $4.05$5.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -56.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTC)

Technology Rank #698 of 714 ⚔️ DDD vs MTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MTC vs. DDD, BLZE, IIIV, MTLS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MMTec Inc. (MTC) ranks #698 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #416 by equity capitalization ($500.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDD leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while IIIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MTLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MTC at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTC ACTIVE
MMTec Inc.
E 26/100 — 21.6% -12.0% -4.91% $500.9M Benchmark Subject
DDD
3D Systems Corporation
E 27/100 16.3x 33.9% -32.8% -2.01% $486.8M /ddd-vs-mtc →
BLZE
Backblaze Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — 60.9% -34.5% -4.01% $540.4M /blze-vs-mtc →
IIIV
i3 Verticals Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 25.5x — 0.9% +0.23% $455.6M /iiiv-vs-mtc →
MTLS
Materialise NV
C- 59/100 — — — +6.79% $427.6M /mtls-vs-mtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001742518

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MMTec Inc. (MTC) reported GAAP revenue of $807.5K (-56.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.9M , and -7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$56.1M, operating cash flow of -$3.7M, and free cash flow of -$3.7M (-614.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTC closed FY2025 with $18.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $807.5K -$56.1M -$3.7M -$3.7M $18.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.9M -$91.2M $722.9K $717.8K $65.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $869.9K $45.5M -$5.2M -$5.2M — —

3. MTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MMTec Inc. (NASDAQ: MTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $5.03 (-4.91% 1D, market cap $500.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MTC ranks #698 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTC compare to DDD and BLZE in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MTC carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.6%, and ROIC of -12.0%. By comparison, DDD (3D Systems Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC -32.8%, cap $486.8M) and BLZE (Backblaze Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.5%, cap $540.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDD leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while IIIV leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTC?

Per MTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001742518), MMTec Inc. generated $807.5K in revenue (-56.8% YoY), -$56.1M in net income, and -$3.7M in free cash flow against $18.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTC last traded at $5.03 (-4.91% on volume of 6,713 shares), positioning the stock -0.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.06) and +9.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $0.25 to $9.10, MTC sits at the 54.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.40 to $5.66).

MTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MTC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MTC.

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