Stock Ratings / Financials / MSIF / earnings

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MSC Income Fund Inc. (MSIF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

$11.95 +1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.96

MSC Income Fund Inc. (MSIF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $541.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.96 (+0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSIF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSIF SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.75-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$11.66-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.54+3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$11.95-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSIF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MSIF currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.14) and Max Pain ($12.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.18.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSIF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSIF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$0.65 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MSIF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $1.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$88.7M	-$70.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$56.6M	-$28.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$66.2M	$50.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSIF)

✓Walkthrough of MSIF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MSIF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.44%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.98H $12.05L $11.76C $11.95VOL 150.7K

RES: $13.34SUP: $11.29SMA50: $12.14SMA200: $12.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSIF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSIF Butterfly Map → + Track MSIF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-10.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSIF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSIF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSIF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSIF)

Financials Rank #983 of 1096 ⚔️ NMCO vs MSIF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MSIF vs. NMCO, SLRC, NMFC, BCSF)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MSC Income Fund Inc. (MSIF) ranks #983 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #687 by equity capitalization ($541.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSIF leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while MSIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. NMCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with MSIF at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSIF ACTIVE MSC Income Fund Inc.	D-	40/100	6.1x	—	12.0%	+1.44%	$541.9M	Benchmark Subject
NMCO Nuveen Municipal Credit Opportunities Fund	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.79%	$489.1M	/nmco-vs-msif →
SLRC SLR Investment Corp.	D	46/100	7.0x	—	9.3%	+1.99%	$643.2M	/slrc-vs-msif →
NMFC New Mountain Finance Corporation	C-	59/100	40.3x	—	1.4%	+1.88%	$664.9M	/nmfc-vs-msif →
BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.	C-	60/100	7.1x	—	8.8%	+2.36%	$703.8M	/bcsf-vs-msif →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001535778

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MSC Income Fund Inc. (MSIF) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $88.7M, operating cash flow of -$70.3M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (-150.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSIF closed FY2025 with $1.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$88.7M	-$70.3M	-$70.3M	$1.38B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$56.6M	-$28.1M	-$28.1M	$1.22B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$66.2M	$50.2M	$50.2M	—	—

3. MSIF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MSC Income Fund Inc. (NYSE: MSIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $11.95 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $541.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MSIF ranks #983 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSIF compare to NMCO and SLRC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), MSIF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, NMCO (Nuveen Municipal Credit Opportunities Fund) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $489.1M) and SLRC (SLR Investment Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $643.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSIF leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while MSIF leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSIF?

Per MSIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001535778), MSC Income Fund Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $88.7M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $1.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSIF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSIF last traded at $11.95 (+1.44% on volume of 134,293 shares), positioning the stock -1.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.14) and -2.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.28). Across its 52-week range of $10.80 to $14.46, MSIF sits at the 31.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($11.30 to $12.60).

MSIF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MSIF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MSC Income Fund Inc. (MSIF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MSIF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.4% event move for MSIF, spanning a range between $11.3 and $12.6.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSIF RQD Cockpit MSIF 12M Forecast MSIF Earnings & Move MSIF Dividends & DRIP MSIF Insiders & 13F MSIF Whale Options MSIF Profit Sankey MSIF News & Why