MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
Why MSB Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.12 +1.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.12
Mesabi Trust (MSB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $237.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $18.12 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $237.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MSB compare to SBMT and IDR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $189.6M) and IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $327.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?
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Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.12 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSB SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$18.42-2.9% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$17.88+2% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$18.24-0.7% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$18.12+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MSB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.40) or 200D SMA ($26.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.12) toward Bear Floor ($14.13).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MSB Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mesabi Trust (MSB) advanced +1.17% to $18.12, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($17.25 – $42.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($17.25 – $42.38) with RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.1% around $18.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.7M annual free cash flow.
Live MSB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 6h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 10h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSB)
- ✓Walkthrough of MSB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $17.87H $18.57L $17.46C $18.12VOL 50.0K
RES: $22.40SUP: $16.05SMA50: $20.40SMA200: $26.47
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSB)
Materials Rank #85 of 270
⚔️ SBMT vs MSB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MSB vs. SBMT, IDR, TRX, VOXR)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesabi Trust (MSB) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #206 by equity capitalization ($237.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with MSB at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSB
ACTIVE
Mesabi Trust | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +1.17% | $237.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $189.6M | /sbmt-vs-msb → |
| IDR Idaho Strategic Resources Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 19.6x | 61.8% | 11.4% | -1.66% | $327.1M | /idr-vs-msb → |
| TRX TRX Gold Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.86% | $334.0M | /trx-vs-msb → |
| VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.61% | $337.1M | /voxr-vs-msb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000065172In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $98.6M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MSB closed FY2025 with $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $24.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-31 | $98.6M | $93.3M | $93.9M | $93.9M | $101.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-31 | $22.9M | $19.0M | $14.6M | $14.6M | — | — |
3. MSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $18.12 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $237.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MSB compare to SBMT and IDR in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $189.6M) and IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $327.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?
Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MSB last traded at $18.12 (+1.17% on volume of 36,616 shares), positioning the stock -11.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.40) and -31.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.47). Across its 52-week range of $17.25 to $42.38, MSB sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($16.29 to $19.95).
MSB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MSB stock moving today?
Why MSB Stock advanced +1.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.