Stock Ratings / Materials / MSB / earnings

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Mesabi Trust (MSB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.1% Move

$18.12 +1.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.12

Mesabi Trust (MSB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $237.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MSB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $18.12 (+1.17% 1D, market cap $237.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSB compare to SBMT and IDR in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $189.6M) and IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $327.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?

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Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.12 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSB SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$18.42-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$17.88+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$18.24-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$18.12+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MSB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.40) or 200D SMA ($26.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.12) toward Bear Floor ($14.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.1% Swing Band

±$1.83 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MSB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$0	$0	$0	52%
FY 2024	2025-01-31	$98.6M	$93.3M	$93.9M	94.6%
FY 2023	2024-01-31	$22.9M	$19.0M	$14.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSB)

✓Walkthrough of MSB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $17.87H $18.57L $17.46C $18.12VOL 50.0K

RES: $22.40SUP: $16.05SMA50: $20.40SMA200: $26.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSB Butterfly Map → + Track MSB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSB)

Materials Rank #85 of 270 ⚔️ SBMT vs MSB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MSB vs. SBMT, IDR, TRX, VOXR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesabi Trust (MSB) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #206 by equity capitalization ($237.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with MSB at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSB ACTIVE Mesabi Trust	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+1.17%	$237.7M	Benchmark Subject
SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-0.93%	$189.6M	/sbmt-vs-msb →
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.	C+	66/100	19.6x	61.8%	11.4%	-1.66%	$327.1M	/idr-vs-msb →
TRX TRX Gold Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.86%	$334.0M	/trx-vs-msb →
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.61%	$337.1M	/voxr-vs-msb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000065172

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $98.6M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MSB closed FY2025 with $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$0	$0	—	—	$24.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$98.6M	$93.3M	$93.9M	$93.9M	$101.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$22.9M	$19.0M	$14.6M	$14.6M	—	—

3. MSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MSB compare to SBMT and IDR in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?

Where is MSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSB last traded at $18.12 (+1.17% on volume of 36,616 shares), positioning the stock -11.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.40) and -31.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.47). Across its 52-week range of $17.25 to $42.38, MSB sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($16.29 to $19.95).

MSB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MSB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Mesabi Trust (MSB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is MSB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.1% event move for MSB, spanning a range between $16.29 and $19.95.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSB RQD Cockpit MSB 12M Forecast MSB Earnings & Move MSB Dividends & DRIP MSB Insiders & 13F MSB Whale Options MSB Profit Sankey MSB News & Why