Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.77 -2.64% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.71

Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $127.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MRDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Meridian Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MRDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.77 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $127.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRDN ranks #462 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MRDN compare to GCL and SSTI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MRDN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GCL (GCL Global Holdings Ltd) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $115.2M) and SSTI (SoundThinking Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $110.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EGAN leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while EGAN leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRDN?
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Per MRDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437925), Meridian Holdings Inc. generated $182.9M in revenue (+21.0% YoY), -$92.0M in net income, and $19.2M in free cash flow against $118.1M in total assets and $6.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.70 (-0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 10.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$17 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MRDN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MRDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MRDN SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 39% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$11.09+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$11.09-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$10.35-5.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$9.77-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MRDN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MRDN currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.39) and Max Pain ($10.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.89.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MRDNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMRDN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MRDN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MRDN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MRDN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MRDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MRDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.21%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.11H $10.11L $9.57C $9.77VOL 23.4K
RES: $13.45SUP: $9.49SMA50: $12.39SMA200: $10.87
$16.68$14.23$11.77$9.31$6.86RES $13.45SUP $9.49$9.772026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRDN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRDN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MRDN vs. GCL, SSTI, HUCK, EGAN)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) ranks #462 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #508 by equity capitalization ($127.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EGAN leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while EGAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 70.1% gross margin. EGAN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MRDN at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MRDN ACTIVE
Meridian Holdings Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 56.6% -35.0% -2.64% $127.2M Benchmark Subject
GCL
GCL Global Holdings Ltd
D 45/100 β€” 10.3% β€” -0.26% $115.2M /gcl-vs-mrdn β†’
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 54.4% -12.2% -0.60% $110.8M /ssti-vs-mrdn β†’
HUCK
Huckleberry.ai Inc. (Class B)
E 29/100 β€” 75.0% -35.0% +0.32% $147.7M /huck-vs-mrdn β†’
EGAN
eGain Corporation
C- 59/100 4.7x 70.1% 46.7% -0.51% $150.1M /egan-vs-mrdn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001437925

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) reported GAAP revenue of $182.9M (+21.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $151.1M , and +96.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$92.0M, operating cash flow of $25.4M, and free cash flow of $19.2M (+14.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRDN closed FY2025 with $118.1M in total assets against $6.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $182.9M -$92.0M $25.4M $19.2M $118.1M $6.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $151.1M -$1.4M $23.9M $16.8M $213.7M $14.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $93.0M $13.7M $23.7M $23.7M β€” β€”

3. MRDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MRDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Meridian Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MRDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.77 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $127.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRDN ranks #462 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MRDN compare to GCL and SSTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MRDN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GCL (GCL Global Holdings Ltd) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $115.2M) and SSTI (SoundThinking Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $110.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EGAN leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while EGAN leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRDN?

Per MRDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437925), Meridian Holdings Inc. generated $182.9M in revenue (+21.0% YoY), -$92.0M in net income, and $19.2M in free cash flow against $118.1M in total assets and $6.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MRDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MRDN last traded at $9.77 (-2.64% on volume of 23,364 shares), positioning the stock -21.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.39) and -10.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.87). Across its 52-week range of $5.80 to $16.09, MRDN sits at the 38.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.7% ($8.63 to $10.91).

MRDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MRDN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MRDN.

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