Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.77 -2.64% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.71

Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $127.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MRDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Meridian Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MRDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.77 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $127.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRDN ranks #462 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MRDN compare to GCL and SSTI in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MRDN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GCL (GCL Global Holdings Ltd) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $115.2M) and SSTI (SoundThinking Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $110.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EGAN leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while EGAN leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRDN?
β–Ό

Per MRDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437925), Meridian Holdings Inc. generated $182.9M in revenue (+21.0% YoY), -$92.0M in net income, and $19.2M in free cash flow against $118.1M in total assets and $6.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.70 (-0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 10.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$17 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MRDN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MRDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MRDN SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 39% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$11.09+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$11.09-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$10.35-5.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$9.77-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MRDN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MRDN currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.39) and Max Pain ($10.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.89.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MRDNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMRDN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MRDN Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MRDN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MRDN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MRDN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MRDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MRDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.21%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $10.11H $10.11L $9.57C $9.77VOL 23.4K
RES: $13.45SUP: $9.49SMA50: $12.39SMA200: $10.87
$16.68$14.23$11.77$9.31$6.86RES $13.45SUP $9.49$9.772026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRDN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRDN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MRDN vs. GCL, SSTI, HUCK, EGAN)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) ranks #462 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #508 by equity capitalization ($127.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EGAN leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while EGAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 70.1% gross margin. EGAN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MRDN at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MRDN ACTIVE
Meridian Holdings Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 56.6% -35.0% -2.64% $127.2M Benchmark Subject
GCL
GCL Global Holdings Ltd
D 45/100 β€” 10.3% β€” -0.26% $115.2M /gcl-vs-mrdn β†’
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 54.4% -12.2% -0.60% $110.8M /ssti-vs-mrdn β†’
HUCK
Huckleberry.ai Inc. (Class B)
E 29/100 β€” 75.0% -35.0% +0.32% $147.7M /huck-vs-mrdn β†’
EGAN
eGain Corporation
C- 59/100 4.7x 70.1% 46.7% -0.51% $150.1M /egan-vs-mrdn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001437925

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) reported GAAP revenue of $182.9M (+21.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $151.1M , and +96.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$92.0M, operating cash flow of $25.4M, and free cash flow of $19.2M (+14.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRDN closed FY2025 with $118.1M in total assets against $6.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $182.9M -$92.0M $25.4M $19.2M $118.1M $6.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $151.1M -$1.4M $23.9M $16.8M $213.7M $14.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $93.0M $13.7M $23.7M $23.7M β€” β€”

3. MRDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MRDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Meridian Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MRDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.77 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $127.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MRDN ranks #462 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MRDN compare to GCL and SSTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MRDN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GCL (GCL Global Holdings Ltd) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $115.2M) and SSTI (SoundThinking Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $110.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EGAN leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while EGAN leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRDN?

Per MRDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437925), Meridian Holdings Inc. generated $182.9M in revenue (+21.0% YoY), -$92.0M in net income, and $19.2M in free cash flow against $118.1M in total assets and $6.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MRDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MRDN last traded at $9.77 (-2.64% on volume of 23,364 shares), positioning the stock -21.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.39) and -10.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.87). Across its 52-week range of $5.80 to $16.09, MRDN sits at the 38.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.7% ($8.63 to $10.91).

MRDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are MRDN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MRDN leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MRDN β€” Meridian Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 44 out of 100, graded D, with a verdict of "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). Each of the five pillars is scored out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 15.07%. The negative ROIC indicates that invested capital is not currently generating returns, while the elevated FCF yield is an upside driver if cash generation proves durable, though it sits alongside reported net losses in the SEC financials.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the score cannot be traced to specific holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transaction records are not present in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves; the highest-scoring pillar here reflects neutral rather than favorable macro alignment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14. The low Altman Z-Score is a distress-zone reading that weighs against the balance sheet pillar despite the favorable Debt/Equity figure.

Taken together, the pillar scores place the stock in the sell-rated band. For a prospective investor, the main upside case rests on the FCF yield and a Debt/Equity ratio that is low, while the main valuation tradeoff is that reported profitability has deteriorated sharply in FY 2025 (per the SEC financials), and the forensic metrics signal financial stress. The rating is a structured assessment of the supplied data and is not a recommendation to act.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings date (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A headline states that Meridian Holdings will report third quarter 2026 financial results on November 10. This is a scheduled event that could move the stock, and the source does not indicate its direction.
  • Expanse Studios Sweden (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE; then GREEN, CATALYST): Multiple headlines report that Expanse Studios is live in or has started operations in Sweden. One headline is tagged as a CATALYST, the only item flagged green in the feed. The source does not quantify revenue or cost impact.
  • CFO interview (GREEN, CATALYST): A DirectorsTalk interview with the CFO covers profitability, debt reduction, and growth priorities. The interview content is not in the source data beyond its headline.
  • Price and sentiment items (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): MarketBeat reports shares up 2%; TradingView and other feeds carry generic estimates coverage. These are routine market-wire items without fundamental content.

Risk watch items: the reported FY 2025 operating and net losses, the 52-week range spanning $5.8 to $16.09, and the -2.59% change on the reference day. Proprietary signals: Not available in source data (the butterfly graph's proprietary signals list is empty).

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 operating income of $2.7M to FY 2025 operating income of $-96.2M, and how much is recurring versus one-time?
  • Why does the FCF of $19.2M in FY 2025 sit alongside a net loss of $-92.0M, and which figure better reflects cash generation?
  • What are the cash balances in each reported period, given that cash is listed as N/A throughout?
  • What is the company's product and revenue mix, and how does the Expanse Studios Sweden operation contribute to revenue?
  • What is the basis for the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores, given that no holder or transaction records are supplied?

MRDN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Meridian Holdings Inc. (MRDN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MRDN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MRDN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.77?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MRDN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MRDN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.60 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MRDN (D β€’ RQD 44/100) a Buy at $9.77?

Welcome to the MRDN (Meridian Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.82 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $9.77

Pump the brakes on MRDN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRDN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 56.6% gross margins. Unless Meridian Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.02 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $9.77

MRDN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRDN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.77 (52-wk range $5.80 - $16.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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