The market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MLR Stock advanced +0.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($85.0M FCF) & 15.2% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MLR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MLR faces multiple-compression risk if 25.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.92) or 200D SMA ($48.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.13) toward Bear Floor ($40.66).
Why MLR Stock advanced +0.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) advanced +0.75% to $52.13, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($35.72 – $59.7). Stretched risk/reward at 26x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($35.72 – $59.7) with RSI-14 at 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.5% around $52.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 15.2% gross margin and $85.0M annual free cash flow.
Haley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MLR)
- ✓Walkthrough of MLR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MLR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLR)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MLR vs. HYLN, BLBD, SCAG, GP)
Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) ranks #451 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #571 by equity capitalization ($591.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with MLR at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLR
ACTIVE
Miller Industries Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 25.7x | 15.2% | 5.5% | +0.75% | $591.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| HYLN Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 4.9% | -30.6% | +1.78% | $612.6M | /hyln-vs-mlr → |
| BLBD Blue Bird Corporation | A- | 81/100 | 13.8x | 20.5% | 85.0% | -1.43% | $1.77B | /blbd-vs-mlr → |
| SCAG Scage Future | D | 50/100 | — | -6.4% | — | +2.32% | $10.6M | /scag-vs-mlr → |
| GP GreenPower Motor Company Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -8.46% | $2.5M | /gp-vs-mlr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000924822In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) reported GAAP revenue of $790.3M (-37.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.26B ) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $98.7M, and free cash flow of $85.0M (+5500.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLR closed FY2025 with $589.7M in total assets against $31.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $790.3M | $23.0M | $98.7M | $85.0M | $589.7M | $31.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.26B | $63.5M | $16.9M | $1.5M | $667.0M | $65.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $58.3M | $11.0M | $11.0M | — | — |
3. MLR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Miller Industries Inc. (NYSE: MLR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $52.13 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $591.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLR ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MLR compare to HYLN and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MLR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.7x, gross margin of 15.2%, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, HYLN (Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.6%, cap $612.6M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLR?
Per MLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000924822), Miller Industries Inc. generated $790.3M in revenue (-37.2% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $85.0M in free cash flow against $589.7M in total assets and $31.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MLR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MLR last traded at $52.13 (+0.75% on volume of 54,071 shares), positioning the stock -3.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.92) and +6.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($48.94). Across its 52-week range of $35.72 to $59.70, MLR sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($49.26 to $55.00).
MLR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MLR stock moving today?
Why MLR Stock advanced +0.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 26x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.