Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MLR / financials

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Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$52.13 +0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.10

Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $591.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.10 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MLR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MLR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($85.0M FCF) & 15.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$52.46-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$51.47+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$51.47+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$52.13+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MLR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MLR faces multiple-compression risk if 25.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.92) or 200D SMA ($48.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.13) toward Bear Floor ($40.66).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MLR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MLR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MLR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$85.0M (10.8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $790.3M

FY24

Rev $1.26B

FY25

Rev $790.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$790.3M	15.2%	0%	$23.0M	$85.0M	5.5%
FY 2024	$1.26B	13.6%	0%	$63.5M	$1.5M	5.5%
FY 2023	$790.3M	15.2%	0%	$58.3M	$11.0M	5.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MLR)

✓Walkthrough of MLR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MLR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.63%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $51.89H $52.13L $50.42C $52.13VOL 61.3K

RES: $64.97SUP: $50.68SMA50: $53.92SMA200: $48.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MLR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MLR Butterfly Map → + Track MLR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MLR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #451 of 1011 ⚔️ HYLN vs MLR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MLR vs. HYLN, BLBD, SCAG, GP)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) ranks #451 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #571 by equity capitalization ($591.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with MLR at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MLR ACTIVE Miller Industries Inc.	D+	58/100	25.7x	15.2%	5.5%	+0.75%	$591.8M	Benchmark Subject
HYLN Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	4.9%	-30.6%	+1.78%	$612.6M	/hyln-vs-mlr →
BLBD Blue Bird Corporation	A-	81/100	13.8x	20.5%	85.0%	-1.43%	$1.77B	/blbd-vs-mlr →
SCAG Scage Future	D	50/100	—	-6.4%	—	+2.32%	$10.6M	/scag-vs-mlr →
GP GreenPower Motor Company Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-8.46%	$2.5M	/gp-vs-mlr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000924822

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Miller Industries Inc. (MLR) reported GAAP revenue of $790.3M (-37.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.26B ) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $98.7M, and free cash flow of $85.0M (+5500.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLR closed FY2025 with $589.7M in total assets against $31.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$790.3M	$23.0M	$98.7M	$85.0M	$589.7M	$31.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.26B	$63.5M	$16.9M	$1.5M	$667.0M	$65.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$58.3M	$11.0M	$11.0M	—	—

3. MLR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Miller Industries Inc. (NYSE: MLR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $52.13 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $591.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLR ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MLR compare to HYLN and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MLR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.7x, gross margin of 15.2%, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, HYLN (Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.6%, cap $612.6M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLR?

Per MLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000924822), Miller Industries Inc. generated $790.3M in revenue (-37.2% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $85.0M in free cash flow against $589.7M in total assets and $31.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MLR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MLR last traded at $52.13 (+0.75% on volume of 54,071 shares), positioning the stock -3.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.92) and +6.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($48.94). Across its 52-week range of $35.72 to $59.70, MLR sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($49.26 to $55.00).

MLR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Miller Industries Inc. (MLR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MLR converted $790.3M of revenue into a 15.2% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $85.0M in free cash flow (10.8% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: MLR RQD Cockpit MLR 12M Forecast MLR Earnings & Move MLR Dividends & DRIP MLR Insiders & 13F MLR Whale Options MLR Profit Sankey MLR News & Why