MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MKTW Stock slipped -1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.97 -1.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.89
MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $315.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.89 (-0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MKTW SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($45.6M FCF) & 86.5% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$19.25-6.4% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$18.01+4.6% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$18.83+6.1% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$19.97+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKTW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MKTW faces multiple-compression risk if 56.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.80) or 200D SMA ($17.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.97) toward Bear Floor ($15.58).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKTW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MKTW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MKTW Stock slipped -1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) slipped -1.04% to $19.97, trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($13.49 – $22.83). Stretched risk/reward at 56x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($13.49 – $22.83) with RSI-14 at 57.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $19.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 86.5% gross margin and $45.6M annual free cash flow.
Live MKTW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MKTW)
- ✓Walkthrough of MKTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MKTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.73%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $20.16H $20.21L $19.54C $19.97VOL 10.1K
RES: $24.31SUP: $17.93SMA50: $18.80SMA200: $17.66
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MKTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKTW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKTW)
Technology Rank #281 of 714
⚔️ ARQQ vs MKTW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MKTW vs. ARQQ, LAW, CMRC, CRNC)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) ranks #281 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #442 by equity capitalization ($315.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKTW leads on earnings valuation at 56.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKTW
ACTIVE
MarketWise Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | 56.1x | 86.5% | 85.0% | -1.04% | $315.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| ARQQ Arqit Quantum Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -4.71% | $306.3M | /arqq-vs-mktw → |
| LAW CS Disco Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 74.9% | -35.0% | +0.95% | $344.1M | /law-vs-mktw → |
| CMRC Commerce.com Inc. Series 1 | D- | 39/100 | — | 78.7% | -35.0% | -0.86% | $285.0M | /cmrc-vs-mktw → |
| CRNC Cerence Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 72.7% | -0.6% | -3.42% | $370.4M | /crnc-vs-mktw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805651In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) reported GAAP revenue of $328.1M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $408.7M , and -26.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.6M, operating cash flow of $46.0M, and free cash flow of $45.6M (+304.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKTW closed FY2025 with $218.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $328.1M | $5.6M | $46.0M | $45.6M | $218.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $408.7M | $7.1M | -$22.1M | -$22.3M | $259.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $448.2M | $1.8M | $62.4M | $62.4M | — | — |
3. MKTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MKTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MKTW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $19.97 (-1.04% 1D, market cap $315.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MKTW ranks #281 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MKTW compare to ARQQ and LAW in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MKTW carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.1x, gross margin of 86.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $306.3M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $344.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTW?
Per MKTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805651), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) generated $328.1M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $45.6M in free cash flow against $218.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (87% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MKTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MKTW last traded at $19.97 (-1.04% on volume of 15,771 shares), positioning the stock +6.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.80) and +13.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.66). Across its 52-week range of $13.49 to $22.83, MKTW sits at the 69.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($18.15 to $21.79).
MKTW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MKTW stock moving today?
Why MKTW Stock slipped -1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 56x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.