Stock Ratings / Technology / MKTW / forecast

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MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.97 -1.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.89

MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $315.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.89 (-0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MKTW SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($45.6M FCF) & 86.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$19.25-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$18.01+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$18.83+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$19.97+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKTW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MKTW faces multiple-compression risk if 56.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.80) or 200D SMA ($17.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.97) toward Bear Floor ($15.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKTW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MKTW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MKTW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.97: 500.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.58

$7,802

$-2,198 (-22.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.97

$10,000

+$0 (+0.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.97

$12,003

+$2,003 (+20.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$21	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$23	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$18	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MKTW)

✓Walkthrough of MKTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MKTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.73%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $20.16H $20.21L $19.54C $19.97VOL 10.1K

RES: $24.31SUP: $17.93SMA50: $18.80SMA200: $17.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MKTW Butterfly Map → + Track MKTW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

39.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKTW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKTW)

Technology Rank #281 of 714 ⚔️ ARQQ vs MKTW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MKTW vs. ARQQ, LAW, CMRC, CRNC)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) ranks #281 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #442 by equity capitalization ($315.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKTW leads on earnings valuation at 56.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MKTW ACTIVE MarketWise Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	56.1x	86.5%	85.0%	-1.04%	$315.0M	Benchmark Subject
ARQQ Arqit Quantum Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-4.71%	$306.3M	/arqq-vs-mktw →
LAW CS Disco Inc.	D-	35/100	—	74.9%	-35.0%	+0.95%	$344.1M	/law-vs-mktw →
CMRC Commerce.com Inc. Series 1	D-	39/100	—	78.7%	-35.0%	-0.86%	$285.0M	/cmrc-vs-mktw →
CRNC Cerence Inc.	D	45/100	—	72.7%	-0.6%	-3.42%	$370.4M	/crnc-vs-mktw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805651

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) reported GAAP revenue of $328.1M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $408.7M , and -26.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.6M, operating cash flow of $46.0M, and free cash flow of $45.6M (+304.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKTW closed FY2025 with $218.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.59, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$328.1M	$5.6M	$46.0M	$45.6M	$218.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$408.7M	$7.1M	-$22.1M	-$22.3M	$259.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$448.2M	$1.8M	$62.4M	$62.4M	—	—

3. MKTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MKTW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $19.97 (-1.04% 1D, market cap $315.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MKTW ranks #281 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MKTW compare to ARQQ and LAW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MKTW carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.1x, gross margin of 86.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $306.3M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $344.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKTW?

Per MKTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805651), MarketWise Inc. (Class A) generated $328.1M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $45.6M in free cash flow against $218.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (87% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MKTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKTW last traded at $19.97 (-1.04% on volume of 15,771 shares), positioning the stock +6.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.80) and +13.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.66). Across its 52-week range of $13.49 to $22.83, MKTW sits at the 69.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($18.15 to $21.79).

MKTW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MKTW's 12-month stock price target?

MarketWise Inc. (Class A) (MKTW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $19.97 (+0% from $19.97), with a bull-case target of $23.97 and a bear-case floor of $15.58.

Is MKTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MKTW D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 58/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: MKTW RQD Cockpit MKTW 12M Forecast MKTW Earnings & Move MKTW Dividends & DRIP MKTW Insiders & 13F MKTW Whale Options MKTW Profit Sankey MKTW News & Why