Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MH / forecast

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McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.88 +1.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.66B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 11.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MH SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.37+4.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$13.98+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.62-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.88-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, MH faces multiple-compression risk if 33.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 78.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.33) or 200D SMA ($12.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.69) toward Bear Floor ($10.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.88: 720.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.68

$7,695

$-2,305 (-23.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.69

$9,863

$-137 (-1.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $18.90

$13,617

+$3,617 (+36.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$18	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MH)

✓Walkthrough of MH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.81%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $14.02H $14.37L $13.24C $13.88VOL 439.3K

RES: $15.02SUP: $13.31SMA50: $13.33SMA200: $12.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MH Butterfly Map → + Track MH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #540 of 1011 ⚔️ CMPR vs MH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MH vs. CMPR, WBTN, DLX, ACCO)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) ranks #540 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #381 by equity capitalization ($2.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CMPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and 47.5% gross margin. DLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with MH at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MH ACTIVE McGraw Hill Inc.	D+	55/100	33.8x	80.9%	7.6%	+1.61%	$2.66B	Benchmark Subject
CMPR Cimpress plc (Ireland)	D+	57/100	99.3x	47.5%	22.7%	-19.35%	$1.49B	/cmpr-vs-mh →
WBTN WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.	D	48/100	—	23.3%	-8.5%	+0.11%	$1.29B	/wbtn-vs-mh →
DLX Deluxe Corporation	C+	68/100	12.8x	53.0%	—	0.00%	$1.05B	/dlx-vs-mh →
ACCO Acco Brands Corporation	C	62/100	9.7x	32.8%	5.0%	-0.46%	$402.5M	/acco-vs-mh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001951070

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.7M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $246.3M (-57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MH closed FY2025 with $5.64B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.52, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$2.10B	$78.7M	$331.2M	$246.3M	$5.64B	$2.61B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$2.10B	-$85.8M	$646.3M	$575.2M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$1.96B	-$193.0M	$236.2M	$236.2M	—	—

3. MH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $13.88 (+1.61% 1D, market cap $2.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #540 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.49B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?

Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MH last traded at $13.88 (+1.61% on volume of 297,308 shares), positioning the stock +4.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.33) and +9.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.63). Across its 52-week range of $8.95 to $18.00, MH sits at the 54.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($12.66 to $15.10).

MH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MH's 12-month stock price target?

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.69 (-1.4% from $13.88), with a bull-case target of $18.9 and a bear-case floor of $10.68.

Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MH D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: MH RQD Cockpit MH 12M Forecast MH Earnings & Move MH Dividends & DRIP MH Insiders & 13F MH Whale Options MH Profit Sankey MH News & Why