Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MH / earnings

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McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.8% Move

$13.88 +1.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.66B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.89 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 11.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MH SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.37+4.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$13.98+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.62-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.88-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, MH faces multiple-compression risk if 33.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 78.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.33) or 200D SMA ($12.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.69) toward Bear Floor ($10.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.8% Swing Band

±$1.22 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $0.41 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.1%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$2.10B	$78.7M	$246.3M	80.9%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$2.10B	-$85.8M	$575.2M	79.9%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$1.96B	-$193.0M	$236.2M	80.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MH)

✓Walkthrough of MH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.81%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $14.02H $14.37L $13.24C $13.88VOL 439.3K

RES: $15.02SUP: $13.31SMA50: $13.33SMA200: $12.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MH Butterfly Map → + Track MH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #540 of 1011 ⚔️ CMPR vs MH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MH vs. CMPR, WBTN, DLX, ACCO)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) ranks #540 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #381 by equity capitalization ($2.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CMPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and 47.5% gross margin. DLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with MH at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MH ACTIVE McGraw Hill Inc.	D+	55/100	33.8x	80.9%	7.6%	+1.61%	$2.66B	Benchmark Subject
CMPR Cimpress plc (Ireland)	D+	57/100	99.3x	47.5%	22.7%	-19.35%	$1.49B	/cmpr-vs-mh →
WBTN WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.	D	48/100	—	23.3%	-8.5%	+0.11%	$1.29B	/wbtn-vs-mh →
DLX Deluxe Corporation	C+	68/100	12.8x	53.0%	—	0.00%	$1.05B	/dlx-vs-mh →
ACCO Acco Brands Corporation	C	62/100	9.7x	32.8%	5.0%	-0.46%	$402.5M	/acco-vs-mh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001951070

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.7M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $246.3M (-57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MH closed FY2025 with $5.64B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.52, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$2.10B	$78.7M	$331.2M	$246.3M	$5.64B	$2.61B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$2.10B	-$85.8M	$646.3M	$575.2M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$1.96B	-$193.0M	$236.2M	$236.2M	—	—

3. MH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $13.88 (+1.61% 1D, market cap $2.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #540 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.49B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?

Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MH last traded at $13.88 (+1.61% on volume of 297,308 shares), positioning the stock +4.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.33) and +9.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.63). Across its 52-week range of $8.95 to $18.00, MH sits at the 54.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($12.66 to $15.10).

MH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, McGraw Hill Inc. (MH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is MH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.8% event move for MH, spanning a range between $12.66 and $15.1.

Direct Sub-Reports: MH RQD Cockpit MH 12M Forecast MH Earnings & Move MH Dividends & DRIP MH Insiders & 13F MH Whale Options MH Profit Sankey MH News & Why