The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.97 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97

The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $84.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Marygold Companies Inc. (NYSE: MGLD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (0.00% 1D, market cap $84.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MGLD ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGLD compare to PFX and BMHL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MGLD carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.1%. By comparison, PFX (PhenixFIN Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $84.4M) and BMHL (Bluemount Holdings Limited (Class B)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $83.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while JFIN leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGLD?
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Per MGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001005101), The Marygold Companies Inc. generated $23.4M in revenue (-28.6% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and -$3.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.97 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.2% Base Target
$2 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MGLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MGLD SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±2.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$2.02-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.98-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$1.97+0% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.97-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MGLD currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.51) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MGLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MGLD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.97: 5076.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.33
$6,751
$-3,249 (-32.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.71
$8,680
$-1,320 (-13.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.23
$11,320
+$1,320 (+13.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGLD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MGLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MGLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +95.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.97H $1.98L $1.96C $1.97VOL 161.4K
RES: $2.42SUP: $0.81SMA50: $1.51SMA200: $1.21
$2.21$1.85$1.50$1.14$0.79RES $2.42SUP $0.81$1.972026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -28.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGLD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGLD)

Financials Rank #1036 of 1096 ⚔️ PFX vs MGLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MGLD vs. PFX, BMHL, SUIG, JFIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) ranks #1036 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #979 by equity capitalization ($84.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while JFIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.1% ROIC and — gross margin. JFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MGLD at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGLD ACTIVE
The Marygold Companies Inc.
E 29/100 — — -29.1% 0.00% $84.1M Benchmark Subject
PFX
PhenixFIN Corporation
D 48/100 20.3x — 2.7% 0.00% $84.4M /pfx-vs-mgld →
BMHL
Bluemount Holdings Limited (Class B)
C- 60/100 — — — +3.98% $83.5M /bmhl-vs-mgld →
SUIG
Sui Group Holdings Limited
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -2.83% $81.4M /suig-vs-mgld →
JFIN
Jiayin Group Inc.
C+ 69/100 — — 29.1% -5.81% $90.0M /jfin-vs-mgld →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001005101

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) reported GAAP revenue of $23.4M (-28.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.8M , and -32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.8M, operating cash flow of -$3.3M, and free cash flow of -$3.4M (-71.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGLD closed FY2025 with $27.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $23.4M -$5.8M -$3.3M -$3.4M $27.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $32.8M -$4.1M -$1.9M -$2.0M $33.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $34.9M $1.2M $1.9M $1.9M — —

3. MGLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The Marygold Companies Inc. (NYSE: MGLD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (0.00% 1D, market cap $84.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MGLD ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGLD compare to PFX and BMHL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), MGLD carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.1%. By comparison, PFX (PhenixFIN Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $84.4M) and BMHL (Bluemount Holdings Limited (Class B)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $83.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while JFIN leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGLD?

Per MGLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001005101), The Marygold Companies Inc. generated $23.4M in revenue (-28.6% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and -$3.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGLD last traded at $1.97 (0.00% on volume of 161,419 shares), positioning the stock +30.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.51) and +62.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.84 to $2.12, MGLD sits at the 88.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.2% ($1.93 to $2.01).

MGLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MGLD's 12-month stock price target?

The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.71 (-13.2% from $1.97), with a bull-case target of $2.23 and a bear-case floor of $1.33.

Is MGLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MGLD E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 29/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGLD — The Marygold Companies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGLD scores 29 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -29.1%; FCF yield -4.01%), Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Fundamental Cash Engine, both of which sit at the low end of their ranges, indicating that the cash-generation and insider-signal components are where the rating is most constrained. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the rating frames the stock as carrying substantial forensic and cash-flow risk; upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in returns on capital and free cash flow, which the source data does not show in its most recent period. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. This section is analytical and educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile, The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials indicate a business generating tens of millions of dollars annually, but the source data does not specify how that revenue is earned. Sector and industry classification are the only business descriptors available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$23.4M$-6.8M$-5.8MN/A$-3.4M$4.1MN/A
FY 2024$32.8M$-6.3M$-4.1MN/A$-2.0M$5.7MN/A
FY 2023$34.9M$1.4M$1.2MN/A$1.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $34.9M in FY 2023 to $32.8M in FY 2024 and $23.4M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $1.4M to losses of $-6.3M and $-6.8M. Operating margin is -29.2% and net margin is -24.8% per the market data, and ROIC is -29.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $5.7M to $4.1M across the two most recent periods reported.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference MGLD, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label, published within roughly the prior 15 hours of the data timestamp. The headlines are generic market-data or stock-forum pages (a Stock Titan stock-price page, a Moomoo forum item that references a different ticker in its headline, Yahoo Finance and Investing.com seasonal-chart and account-statement pages that reference other instruments), and none describes a company-specific corporate event such as earnings, guidance, contracts, or management changes. The risk-watch item is therefore the absence of identifiable fundamental catalysts in the feed. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports a sector of Financials, a supply chain value of NONE, zero butterfly links, and zero proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping, no sector correlation figures beyond the Beta of 1.0, and no identified 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links is a data limitation rather than evidence of an absence of dependencies.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and principal revenue sources, given that the source data provides only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the decline in revenue from $34.9M to $23.4M and the shift from operating income to operating losses?
  • What are the company's debt levels in absolute terms, since the Debt field is reported as N/A for each period?
  • Why are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would earnings-based valuation show?
  • Does the cash balance of $4.1M cover the reported free cash flow deficit of $-3.4M, and what is the funding plan?

MGLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Marygold Companies Inc. (MGLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MGLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGLD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGLD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.73 (-12.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MGLD (E • RQD 29/100) a Buy at $1.97?

Welcome to the MGLD (The Marygold Companies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 29/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.62 (-17.8%)
Spot @ $1.97

Pump the brakes on MGLD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MGLD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless The Marygold Companies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.38 (+20.8%)
Spot @ $1.97

MGLD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MGLD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.97 (52-wk range $1.80 - $2.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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