MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Sidus Space shares are trading lower after the company announced the pricing of its $58.5 million offering of 13,453,700 shares at $4.35 per share.Why MDA Stock slipped -0.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$29.12 -0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $4.72B
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Is MDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, MDA Space Ltd. (NYSE: MDA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $29.12 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MDA ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.
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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MDA compare to TGLS and CAMT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Electronic Components), MDA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TGLS (Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 23.3%, cap $1.71B) and CAMT (Camtek Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 116.2x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $5.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGLS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while TGLS leads on capital efficiency (23.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDA?
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For MDA Space Ltd. (MDA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #439 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MDA SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$28.15+0.2% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$28.22-2.2% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$27.61+5.5% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$29.12+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MDA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MDA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.21) or 200D SMA ($32.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.12) toward Bear Floor ($22.71).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MDA Stock slipped -0.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) slipped -0.65% to $29.12, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($23.23 – $49.37). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($23.23 – $49.37) with RSI-14 at 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $29.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $132.2M annual free cash flow.
Live MDA Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 2d ago
IRIS² CONSTELLATION: MDA SPACE TO PROVIDE THALES ALENIA SPACE WITH DIGITAL ANTENNA SUBSYSTEMS FOR 66 EARLY-DELIVERY SATELLITESMDA Space Ltd. (TSX: MDA) (NYSE: MDA), a trusted mission partner to the global defence and space industry, has entered into an agreement with Thales Alenia Space, a joint venture between Thales (67%) and Leonardo (33%),
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Will MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
49North Qualifies Across All Five Streams of Canada's Defence Drone Initiative Marketplace49North, a wholly owned subsidiary of MDA Space Ltd. (TSX: MDA) (NYSE: MDA), today announced that it has qualified across all five streams of Canada's Defence Drone Initiative (DDI) Marketplace. The qualification positio
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
49North Signs MOU with UNWAVE for Joint Production and Support of Counter-UAS Systems49North, a wholly owned subsidiary of MDA Space Ltd. (TSX: MDA) (NYSE: MDA), announced today that it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with UNWAVE, a Ukrainian counter-drone technology manufacturer, to colla
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 5d ago
MDA Space's 49North Subsidiary Inks MoU With UNWAVE Over Joint Production Of Counter-Uncrewed Aerial Systems49North, a wholly owned subsidiary of MDA Space Ltd. (TSX: MDA) (NYSE: MDA), announced today that it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with UNWAVE, a Ukrainian counter-drone technology manufacturer, to
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
Arxis IPO Opens For Trade AT $38/Share; IPO Priced At $28.00/Share On 40.5M SharesCATALYSTYahoo • 13d ago
MDA Space Sentiment Seen Improving on Buybacks, CSG Investment, RBC SaysMDA Space (MDA) sentiment is expected to benefit from its share repurchase plan, CSG's strategic inv
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDA)
- ✓Walkthrough of MDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.99%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $28.15H $29.12L $26.70C $29.12VOL 916.1K
RES: $27.63SUP: $25.65SMA50: $29.21SMA200: $32.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDA)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #439 of 1011
⚔️ TGLS vs MDA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MDA vs. TGLS, CAMT, AVT, NVMI)
Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) ranks #439 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #282 by equity capitalization ($4.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TGLS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while TGLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.3% ROIC and 42.8% gross margin. TGLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MDA at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDA
ACTIVE
MDA Space Ltd. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.65% | $4.72B | Benchmark Subject |
| TGLS Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. | B | 73/100 | 10.7x | 42.8% | 23.3% | +2.23% | $1.71B | /tgls-vs-mda → |
| CAMT Camtek Ltd. | D+ | 57/100 | 116.2x | 50.5% | 14.3% | -1.64% | $5.90B | /camt-vs-mda → |
| AVT Avnet Inc. | D | 48/100 | 22.7x | 10.4% | 8.0% | -1.22% | $7.60B | /avt-vs-mda → |
| NVMI Nova Ltd. | D+ | 56/100 | 41.0x | 57.4% | 13.0% | -0.04% | $10.63B | /nvmi-vs-mda → |
2. MDA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTMDA Space Ltd. (MDA) operates in Electronic Components (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $4.72B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. MDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MDA Space Ltd. (NYSE: MDA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $29.12 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MDA ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MDA compare to TGLS and CAMT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Electronic Components), MDA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TGLS (Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 23.3%, cap $1.71B) and CAMT (Camtek Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 116.2x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $5.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGLS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while TGLS leads on capital efficiency (23.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDA?
For MDA Space Ltd. (MDA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #439 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MDA last traded at $29.12 (-0.65% on volume of 470,086 shares), positioning the stock -0.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.21) and -11.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.91). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $49.37, MDA sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($26.41 to $31.83).
MDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MDA stock moving today?
Why MDA Stock slipped -0.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.