Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MDA

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MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$29.12 -0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MDA SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$28.15+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$28.22-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$27.61+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$29.12+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MDA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MDA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.21) or 200D SMA ($32.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.12) toward Bear Floor ($22.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE23% OF RANGE

L: $23$29.12H: $49

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MDA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MDA

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDA)

✓Walkthrough of MDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.99%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $28.15H $29.12L $26.70C $29.12VOL 916.1K

RES: $27.63SUP: $25.65SMA50: $29.21SMA200: $32.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MDA Butterfly Map → + Track MDA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #439 of 1011 ⚔️ TGLS vs MDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MDA vs. TGLS, CAMT, AVT, NVMI)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) ranks #439 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #282 by equity capitalization ($4.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TGLS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while TGLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.3% ROIC and 42.8% gross margin. TGLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MDA at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MDA ACTIVE MDA Space Ltd.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.65%	$4.72B	Benchmark Subject
TGLS Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.	B	73/100	10.7x	42.8%	23.3%	+2.23%	$1.71B	/tgls-vs-mda →
CAMT Camtek Ltd.	D+	57/100	116.2x	50.5%	14.3%	-1.64%	$5.90B	/camt-vs-mda →
AVT Avnet Inc.	D	48/100	22.7x	10.4%	8.0%	-1.22%	$7.60B	/avt-vs-mda →
NVMI Nova Ltd.	D+	56/100	41.0x	57.4%	13.0%	-0.04%	$10.63B	/nvmi-vs-mda →

2. MDA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) operates in Electronic Components (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $4.72B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. MDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MDA Space Ltd. (NYSE: MDA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $29.12 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MDA ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MDA compare to TGLS and CAMT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Electronic Components), MDA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TGLS (Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 23.3%, cap $1.71B) and CAMT (Camtek Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 116.2x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $5.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGLS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while TGLS leads on capital efficiency (23.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDA?

For MDA Space Ltd. (MDA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #439 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDA last traded at $29.12 (-0.65% on volume of 470,086 shares), positioning the stock -0.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.21) and -11.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.91). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $49.37, MDA sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($26.41 to $31.83).

MDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MDA stock right now?

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MDA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MDA's 12-month base price target is $29.12 (range $22.71 to $51.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MDA RQD Cockpit MDA 12M Forecast MDA Earnings & Move MDA Dividends & DRIP MDA Insiders & 13F MDA Whale Options MDA Profit Sankey MDA News & Why