MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$21.49 +1.20% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.50

MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $514.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MCFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MCFT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (+1.20% 1D, market cap $514.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MCFT ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MCFT compare to MBUU and NXB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MCFT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.0x, gross margin of 20.0%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, MBUU (Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $462.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $38.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCFT?
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Per MCFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001638290), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. generated $284.2M in revenue (-11.8% YoY), $7.0M in net income, and $26.4M in free cash flow against $259.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.50 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 9.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$30 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MCFT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MCFT SCORES 56/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.65 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($26.4M FCF) & 20% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$19.20+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$19.21+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$19.52+10.1% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$21.49-0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (48) β†’ D+ (56)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MCFT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MCFT faces multiple-compression risk if 73.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.83) or 200D SMA ($22.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.30) toward Bear Floor ($16.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MCFTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMCFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MCFT Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MCFT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MCFT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MCFT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MCFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MCFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.49%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $20.14H $21.49L $20.14C $21.49VOL 111.5K
RES: $25.58SUP: $16.40SMA50: $20.83SMA200: $22.52
$29.11$26.33$23.54$20.75$17.97RES $25.58SUP $16.40$21.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
47.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCFT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCFT)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MCFT vs. MBUU, NXB, HII, VEEE)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #295 by equity capitalization ($514.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HII leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while NXB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and 9.6% gross margin. HII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MCFT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MCFT ACTIVE
MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 73.0x 20.0% 6.7% +1.20% $514.4M Benchmark Subject
MBUU
Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 30.4x 17.8% 3.5% +1.32% $462.4M /mbuu-vs-mcft β†’
NXB
NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok
D- 39/100 β€” 9.6% 18.8% -5.50% $38.8M /nxb-vs-mcft β†’
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.
C+ 67/100 20.6x β€” 8.3% +0.21% $12.46B /hii-vs-mcft β†’
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats Co.
E 24/100 β€” 8.5% -35.0% -2.01% $5.5M /veee-vs-mcft β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0001638290

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (MCFT) reported GAAP revenue of $284.2M (-11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $322.4M , and -53.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.0M, operating cash flow of $35.6M, and free cash flow of $26.4M (+1238.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCFT closed FY2025 with $259.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.65, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $284.2M $7.0M $35.6M $26.4M $259.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $322.4M $7.8M $12.5M $2.0M $250.1M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $609.9M $68.9M $134.2M $134.2M β€” β€”

3. MCFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MCFT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $21.49 (+1.20% 1D, market cap $514.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MCFT ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCFT compare to MBUU and NXB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MCFT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.0x, gross margin of 20.0%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, MBUU (Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $462.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $38.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCFT?

Per MCFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001638290), MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc. generated $284.2M in revenue (-11.8% YoY), $7.0M in net income, and $26.4M in free cash flow against $259.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCFT last traded at $21.49 (+1.20% on volume of 110,073 shares), positioning the stock +3.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.83) and -4.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.52). Across its 52-week range of $17.19 to $28.44, MCFT sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.8% ($20.03 to $22.95).

MCFT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are MCFT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MCFT leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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