Stock Ratings / Industrials / MBUU / options

MCFT (68) NXB (50) HII (67) VEEE (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.50 +5.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.69

Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $462.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.69 (+0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 3.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBUU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MBUU SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$21.64+2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$22.26-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$22.03+6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$23.50+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MBUU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, MBUU faces multiple-compression risk if 30.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.12) or 200D SMA ($26.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.66) toward Bear Floor ($19.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBUU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MBUU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MBUU)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MBUU.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MBUU & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MBUU
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MBUU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $23.50H $23.91L $23.33C $23.50VOL 332.9K

RES: $31.00SUP: $20.64SMA50: $24.12SMA200: $26.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBUU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MBUU Butterfly Map → + Track MBUU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBUU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBUU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBUU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBUU)

Industrials Rank #67 of 485 ⚔️ MCFT vs MBUU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MBUU vs. MCFT, NXB, HII, VEEE)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) ranks #67 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #302 by equity capitalization ($462.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HII leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while NXB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and 9.6% gross margin. MBUU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MBUU ACTIVE Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)	C+	69/100	30.4x	17.8%	3.5%	+5.48%	$462.4M	Benchmark Subject
MCFT MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.	C+	68/100	73.0x	20.0%	6.7%	+5.44%	$514.4M	/mcft-vs-mbuu →
NXB NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok	D	50/100	—	9.6%	18.8%	+3.69%	$38.8M	/nxb-vs-mbuu →
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	20.6x	—	8.3%	+13.23%	$12.46B	/hii-vs-mbuu →
VEEE Twin Vee PowerCats Co.	D-	35/100	—	8.5%	-35.0%	+1.29%	$5.5M	/veee-vs-mbuu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001590976

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (MBUU) reported GAAP revenue of $807.6M (-2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $829.0M , and -41.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.2M, operating cash flow of $56.5M, and free cash flow of $28.6M (+240.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBUU closed FY2025 with $715.7M in total assets against $20.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$807.6M	$15.2M	$56.5M	$28.6M	$715.7M	$20.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$829.0M	-$56.4M	$55.6M	-$20.4M	$738.7M	$23.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$1.39B	$107.9M	$184.7M	$184.7M	—	—

3. MBUU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBUU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MBUU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $23.50 (+5.48% 1D, market cap $462.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MBUU ranks #67 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBUU compare to MCFT and NXB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), MBUU carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.4x, gross margin of 17.8%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 73.0x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $514.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $38.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HII leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBUU?

Per MBUU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001590976), Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A) generated $807.6M in revenue (-2.6% YoY), $15.2M in net income, and $28.6M in free cash flow against $715.7M in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBUU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBUU last traded at $23.50 (+5.48% on volume of 250,737 shares), positioning the stock -2.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.12) and -12.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.99). Across its 52-week range of $21.16 to $34.97, MBUU sits at the 16.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($21.76 to $25.24).

MBUU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MBUU's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MBUU.

Direct Sub-Reports: MBUU RQD Cockpit MBUU 12M Forecast MBUU Earnings & Move MBUU Dividends & DRIP MBUU Insiders & 13F MBUU Whale Options MBUU Profit Sankey MBUU News & Why