MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share (MBAI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.09 +2.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.09

MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share (MBAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $32.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.09 (+0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$29 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE MBAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBAI SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$3.26-15.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$2.75-24.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$2.07+1% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$2.09-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MBAI currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.62) and Max Pain ($2.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MBAI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MBAI.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBAI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MBAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MBAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.69%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.09L $1.83C $2.09VOL 20.9K
RES: $6.26SUP: $1.60SMA50: $4.62SMA200: $9.17
$15.61$11.85$8.09$4.32$0.56RES $6.26SUP $1.60$2.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBAI)

Technology Rank #525 of 714 ⚔️ BNAI vs MBAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MBAI vs. BNAI, MLGO, CREX, SJ)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share (MBAI) ranks #525 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #588 by equity capitalization ($32.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBAI leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while MLGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.6% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. SJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with MBAI at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBAI ACTIVE
MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share
D- 42/100 7.7x — -35.0% +2.20% $32.0M Benchmark Subject
BNAI
Brand Engagement Network Inc.
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -7.86% $31.7M /bnai-vs-mbai →
MLGO
MicroAlgo Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 25.8% 1.6% -3.31% $32.8M /mlgo-vs-mbai →
CREX
Creative Realities Inc.
E 28/100 — 44.9% -11.8% 0.00% $28.4M /crex-vs-mbai →
SJ
Scienjoy Holding Corporation (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — 18.3% -20.2% +3.66% $36.1M /sj-vs-mbai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001610590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share (MBAI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of -$46.0K, and free cash flow of -$46.0K (+99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBAI closed FY2025 with $7.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $4.1M -$46.0K -$46.0K $7.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$25.1M -$8.0M -$8.0M $377.0K —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$17.6M -$17.0M -$17.0M — —

3. MBAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: MBAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $32.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MBAI ranks #525 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBAI compare to BNAI and MLGO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), MBAI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BNAI (Brand Engagement Network Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $31.7M) and MLGO (MicroAlgo Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $32.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBAI leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while MLGO leads on capital efficiency (1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBAI?

Per MBAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001610590), MBody AI Ltd. Ordinary Share generated $0 in revenue, $4.1M in net income, and -$46.0K in free cash flow against $7.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBAI last traded at $2.09 (+2.20% on volume of 25,052 shares), positioning the stock -54.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.62) and -77.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.73 to $27.44, MBAI sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.83 to $2.35).

MBAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MBAI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MBAI.

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