Mattel Inc. (MAT) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.48 +1.31% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Mattel Inc. (MAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$24 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $15.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
54% Calls / 46% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.86x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$15.00
-3.1% vs. current $15.48 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.4%
Expected event band around $15.48

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MAT)

$10
6,087C / 12,062P
$12.5
6,087C / 12,062P
$15
14,236C / 12,062P
$17.5
14,236C / 5,213P
$20
14,236C / 5,213P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading MAT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on MAT this week
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $15.52H $15.60L $15.27C $15.42VOL 4.56M
RES: $17.62SUP: $11.44SMA50: $14.98SMA200: $15.46
$18.51$16.85$15.20$13.54$11.89RES $17.62SUP $11.44$15.422026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MAT's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in MAT show 54% bullish call premium versus 46% put premium, centered near a $15 max-pain strike.