Mattel Inc. (MAT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.48 +1.31% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Mattel Inc. (MAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$24 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $15.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MAT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.48: 646.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.57
$8,120
$-1,880 (-18.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.11
$10,407
+$407 (+4.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.60
$15,245
+$5,245 (+52.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1458%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live MAT Tape Review)

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $15.52H $15.60L $15.27C $15.42VOL 4.56M
RES: $17.62SUP: $11.44SMA50: $14.98SMA200: $15.46
$18.51$16.85$15.20$13.54$11.89RES $17.62SUP $11.44$15.422026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MAT's 12-month stock price target?

Mattel Inc. (MAT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $16.11 (+4.1% from $15.48), with a bull-case target of $23.6 and a bear-case floor of $12.57.

Is MAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MAT C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 67/100.