Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MAN / options

AMN (53) ASTH (58) NSP (20) ICFI (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ManpowerGroup (MAN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$45.49 -0.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.36

ManpowerGroup (MAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.36 (-0.29%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MAN SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 53% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$52.78-21.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$41.49+14.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$47.53-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$45.49-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MAN currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($54.42) and Max Pain ($47.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $67.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±10%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MAN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MAN.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAN)

✓Walkthrough of MAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +50.28%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $46.50H $46.51L $44.65C $45.49VOL 544.5K

RES: $75.88SUP: $41.30SMA50: $54.42SMA200: $39.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MAN Butterfly Map → + Track MAN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #804 of 1011 ⚔️ AMN vs MAN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MAN vs. AMN, ASTH, NSP, ICFI)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ManpowerGroup (MAN) ranks #804 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICFI leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with MAN at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MAN ACTIVE ManpowerGroup	D-	41/100	—	16.7%	5.3%	-0.57%	$2.12B	Benchmark Subject
AMN AMN Healthcare Services Inc	D+	53/100	—	28.3%	-7.2%	+0.47%	$1.82B	/amn-vs-man →
ASTH Astrana Health Inc.	D+	58/100	75.7x	—	4.6%	-0.14%	$1.82B	/asth-vs-man →
NSP Insperity Inc.	E	20/100	—	13.2%	-8.9%	-10.38%	$1.77B	/nsp-vs-man →
ICFI ICF International Inc.	B-	71/100	18.7x	37.2%	8.1%	+1.25%	$1.72B	/icfi-vs-man →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000871763

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ManpowerGroup (MAN) reported GAAP revenue of $17.96B (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.85B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$104.1M, and free cash flow of -$104.1M (-133.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAN closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $1.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.96B	$0	-$104.1M	-$104.1M	$9.16B	$1.05B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.85B	$0	$309.2M	$309.2M	$8.20B	$929.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$18.91B	$0	$348.2M	$348.2M	—	—

3. MAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $45.49 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $2.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAN ranks #804 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAN compare to AMN and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), MAN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.7%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICFI leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAN?

Per MAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000871763), ManpowerGroup generated $17.96B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$104.1M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAN last traded at $45.49 (-0.57% on volume of 502,975 shares), positioning the stock -16.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($54.42) and +14.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.86). Across its 52-week range of $25.15 to $63.88, MAN sits at the 52.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($40.94 to $50.04).

MAN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MAN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MAN.

Direct Sub-Reports: MAN RQD Cockpit MAN 12M Forecast MAN Earnings & Move MAN Dividends & DRIP MAN Insiders & 13F MAN Whale Options MAN Profit Sankey MAN News & Why