MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
US voters in a sour economic mood heading into midterm elections - ReutersUS voters in a sour economic mood heading into midterm elections Reuters
Why MAN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$46.30 +1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.36
ManpowerGroup (MAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $2.12B
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Is MAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $46.30 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $2.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAN ranks #781 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MAN compare to AMN and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), MAN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.7%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICFI leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAN?
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Per MAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000871763), ManpowerGroup generated $17.96B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$104.1M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.36 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$51.29-19.1% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$41.48+11.3% Next Q
42
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$46.18+0.3% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$46.30-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAN Turnaround Squeeze
While MAN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($54.10) and Max Pain ($48.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $67.07.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MAN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ManpowerGroup (MAN) advanced +1.78% to $46.30, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($25.15 – $63.88). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($25.15 – $63.88) with RSI-14 at 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.8% around $46.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 16.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MAN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
China's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict - ReutersChina's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Sectors bracing for a pivot as US midterm elections loom - ReutersSectors bracing for a pivot as US midterm elections loom Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says - ReutersIranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Saudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities - ReutersSaudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities Reuters
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill four people in Gaza, medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill four people in Gaza, medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
World's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says - ReutersWorld's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAN)
- ✓Walkthrough of MAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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MAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.68%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $45.75H $46.30L $45.49C $46.30VOL 503.0K
RES: $76.15SUP: $41.44SMA50: $54.10SMA200: $39.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #781 of 1011
⚔️ AMN vs MAN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MAN vs. AMN, ASTH, NSP, ICFI)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ManpowerGroup (MAN) ranks #781 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICFI leads on earnings valuation at 18.7x trailing P/E, while ICFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 37.2% gross margin. ICFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MAN at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAN
ACTIVE
ManpowerGroup | D- | 37/100 | — | 16.7% | 5.3% | +1.78% | $2.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| AMN AMN Healthcare Services Inc | D+ | 56/100 | — | 28.3% | -7.2% | +0.36% | $1.82B | /amn-vs-man → |
| ASTH Astrana Health Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 75.7x | — | 4.6% | -0.25% | $1.82B | /asth-vs-man → |
| NSP Insperity Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 13.2% | -8.9% | +5.16% | $1.77B | /nsp-vs-man → |
| ICFI ICF International Inc. | B | 73/100 | 18.7x | 37.2% | 8.1% | -0.38% | $1.72B | /icfi-vs-man → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000871763In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ManpowerGroup (MAN) reported GAAP revenue of $17.96B (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.85B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$104.1M, and free cash flow of -$104.1M (-133.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAN closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $1.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $17.96B | $0 | -$104.1M | -$104.1M | $9.16B | $1.05B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $17.85B | $0 | $309.2M | $309.2M | $8.20B | $929.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $18.91B | $0 | $348.2M | $348.2M | — | — |
3. MAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $46.30 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $2.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAN ranks #781 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MAN compare to AMN and ASTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), MAN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.7%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, AMN (AMN Healthcare Services Inc) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.82B) and ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 75.7x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICFI leads on earnings multiple (18.7x) while ICFI leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAN?
Per MAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000871763), ManpowerGroup generated $17.96B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$104.1M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MAN last traded at $46.30 (+1.78% on volume of 544,551 shares), positioning the stock -14.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($54.10) and +15.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.93). Across its 52-week range of $25.15 to $63.88, MAN sits at the 54.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($41.76 to $50.84).
MAN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MAN stock moving today?
Why MAN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.