LiveWire Group Inc. (LVWR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, LiveWire Group Inc. (NYSE: LVWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.90 (-43.74% 1D, market cap $184.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LVWR ranks #987 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LVWR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -17.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $686.4M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
Per LVWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001898795), LiveWire Group Inc. generated $25.7M in revenue (-3.6% YoY), -$75.1M in net income, and -$57.4M in free cash flow against $146.4M in total assets and $74.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While LVWR currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.41) and Max Pain ($0.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.79.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
LiveWire Group Inc. (LVWR) dropped -43.74% to $0.90, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.65 – $5.51). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Gainers INNEOVA Holdings (NASDAQ:INEO) shares increased by 18.1% to $0.63 during Friday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $9.2 million. Ruanyun Edai Technology
US session market movers: NUBURU led gainers at 125.0% while GameStop's GME.W fell 48.11% among the biggest losers.
US top gainers and losers for Oct. 29, 2026, ranked by percentage change, led by BURU's 117.0% gain and GME.W's 46.08% decline.
Oct. 29, 2026 gap movers include NCPL, PCLA, INLF, ADT, GKOS, PRCH, CROX, CLMB, TDOC and KFIIR on the upside, plus GME.W, OPTT, LVWR and XRX on the downside.
U.S. stocks fell Thursday, led by a 9% Caterpillar drop; Porch, Teladoc and Crocs surged, while oil, gold and silver declined.
Gainers ADT (NYSE:ADT) stock rose 33.9% to $9.93 during Thursday's regular session. The company's market cap stands at $5.4 billion. America's Car-Mart (NASDAQ:CRMT) stock rose 29.16% to $1.12. The
MILWAUKEE, October 29, 2026--LiveWire Group, Inc. ("LiveWire" or the "Company") (NYSE: LVWR) today reported third quarter 2026 results.
LiveWire Gr (NYSE:LVWR) reported quarterly losses of $(0.09) per share. This is a 10 percent increase over losses of $(0.10) per share from the same period last year. The company reported $7.863 million in sales this
Tesla’s rally comes after stronger-than-expected deliveries, an earnings beat, Robotaxi progress and speculation about a SpaceX merger.
LiveWire’s CEO has departed and a restructuring officer has taken over as losses mount at the once-hyped spinoff.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LVWR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LVWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LiveWire Group Inc. (LVWR) ranks #987 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #705 by equity capitalization ($184.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with LVWR at 25/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVWR
ACTIVE
LiveWire Group Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | -17.3% | -35.0% | -43.74% | $184.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 30.2% | -35.0% | +5.42% | $686.4M | /foxf-vs-lvwr → |
| HOG Harley-Davidson Inc. | B | 75/100 | 9.3x | 23.9% | 18.0% | +2.74% | $3.16B | /hog-vs-lvwr → |
| INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | 19.2% | -1.0% | +5.75% | $9.2M | /ineo-vs-lvwr → |
| LKQ LKQ Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | 7.5x | 38.6% | 8.5% | +5.29% | $4.58B | /lkq-vs-lvwr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LiveWire Group Inc. (LVWR) reported GAAP revenue of $25.7M (-3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $26.6M , and -32.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$75.1M, operating cash flow of -$53.5M, and free cash flow of -$57.4M (+43.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, LVWR closed FY2025 with $146.4M in total assets against $74.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $25.7M | -$75.1M | -$53.5M | -$57.4M | $146.4M | $74.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $26.6M | -$93.9M | -$93.9M | -$101.9M | $148.0M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $38.0M | -$109.5M | -$83.5M | -$83.5M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, LiveWire Group Inc. (NYSE: LVWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.90 (-43.74% 1D, market cap $184.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LVWR ranks #987 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LVWR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -17.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $686.4M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
Per LVWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001898795), LiveWire Group Inc. generated $25.7M in revenue (-3.6% YoY), -$75.1M in net income, and -$57.4M in free cash flow against $146.4M in total assets and $74.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
LVWR last traded at $0.90 (-43.74% on volume of 2,531,995 shares), positioning the stock -36.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.41) and -41.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.55). Across its 52-week range of $0.65 to $5.51, LVWR sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.01).
Why LVWR Stock dropped -43.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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