CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Cisco Systems, Digi International and LantronixAI workloads, 5G, Wi-Fi 7 and rising connectivity needs are driving networking growth, putting Cisco, Digi and Lantronix in focus.
Why LTRX Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.38 +1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.38
Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $299.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.38 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LTRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LTRX SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($6.8M FCF) & 42.1% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.27 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$6.85-18.1% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$5.61+2.5% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$5.75+11% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D$6.38-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTRX Turnaround Squeeze
While LTRX currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.05) and Max Pain ($6.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.19.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LTRX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LTRX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LTRX Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) advanced +1.27% to $6.38, trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($4.4 – $8.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($4.4 – $8.75) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $6.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 42.1% gross margin and $6.8M annual free cash flow.
Live LTRX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
3 Stocks to Consider From a Flourishing Networking IndustryCSCO, DGII and LTRX ride on multiple tailwinds amid macro headwinds and margin pressures.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Lantronix to Report Fiscal 2027 First Quarter Results on Nov. 9, 2026IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX), a global provider of Edge Intelligence and Industrial IoT solutions that power NDAA-compliant unmanned systems, critical infrastructure and
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTRX)
- ✓Walkthrough of LTRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LTRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.92%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $6.10H $6.38L $5.87C $6.38VOL 462.9K
RES: $7.19SUP: $5.14SMA50: $6.05SMA200: $6.11
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LTRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -23.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTRX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LTRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTRX)
Technology Rank #470 of 714
⚔️ ALLT vs LTRX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LTRX vs. ALLT, SILC, ATEN, BOSC)
Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) ranks #470 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #447 by equity capitalization ($299.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOSC leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while ATEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.5% ROIC and 79.3% gross margin. BOSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with LTRX at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTRX
ACTIVE
Lantronix Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 42.1% | -14.2% | +1.27% | $299.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| ALLT Allot Ltd. | D | 50/100 | 118.0x | 71.1% | 3.0% | -2.29% | $437.4M | /allt-vs-ltrx → |
| SILC Silicom Ltd | E | 31/100 | — | 30.6% | -11.8% | -20.04% | $202.9M | /silc-vs-ltrx → |
| ATEN A10 Networks Inc. | C | 63/100 | 44.5x | 79.3% | 26.5% | -2.31% | $1.88B | /aten-vs-ltrx → |
| BOSC B.O.S. Better Online Solutions | B | 73/100 | 8.6x | 23.9% | 12.9% | +0.69% | $30.9M | /bosc-vs-ltrx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001114925In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) reported GAAP revenue of $122.9M (-23.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $160.3M , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $7.3M, and free cash flow of $6.8M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LTRX closed FY2025 with $121.7M in total assets against $9.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $122.9M | -$11.4M | $7.3M | $6.8M | $121.7M | $9.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $160.3M | -$4.5M | $18.6M | $17.1M | $134.2M | $11.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $131.2M | -$9.0M | $237.0K | $237.0K | — | — |
3. LTRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LTRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.38 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $299.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LTRX ranks #470 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LTRX compare to ALLT and SILC in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), LTRX carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, ALLT (Allot Ltd.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $437.4M) and SILC (Silicom Ltd) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $202.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTRX?
Per LTRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001114925), Lantronix Inc. generated $122.9M in revenue (-23.3% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $6.8M in free cash flow against $121.7M in total assets and $9.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LTRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LTRX last traded at $6.38 (+1.27% on volume of 496,091 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.05) and +4.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.11). Across its 52-week range of $4.40 to $8.75, LTRX sits at the 45.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($5.72 to $7.04).
LTRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LTRX stock moving today?
Why LTRX Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.