Stock Ratings / Technology / LTRX / financials

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Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$6.38 +1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.38

Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $299.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.38 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LTRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LTRX SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($6.8M FCF) & 42.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.27 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.85-18.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$5.61+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$5.75+11% Next Q

Current

Grade D$6.38-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LTRX currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.05) and Max Pain ($6.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LTRX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LTRX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How LTRX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$6.8M (5.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $131.2M

FY24

Rev $160.3M

FY25

Rev $122.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$122.9M	42.1%	-8.9%	-$11.4M	$6.8M	-14.2%
FY 2024	$160.3M	40.1%	-1.8%	-$4.5M	$17.1M	-3.2%
FY 2023	$131.2M	42.1%	-5.1%	-$9.0M	$237.0K	-14.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTRX)

✓Walkthrough of LTRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LTRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.92%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $6.10H $6.38L $5.87C $6.38VOL 462.9K

RES: $7.19SUP: $5.14SMA50: $6.05SMA200: $6.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LTRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LTRX Butterfly Map → + Track LTRX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LTRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTRX)

Technology Rank #470 of 714 ⚔️ ALLT vs LTRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LTRX vs. ALLT, SILC, ATEN, BOSC)

Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) ranks #470 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #447 by equity capitalization ($299.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOSC leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while ATEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.5% ROIC and 79.3% gross margin. BOSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with LTRX at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LTRX ACTIVE Lantronix Inc.	D	46/100	—	42.1%	-14.2%	+1.27%	$299.1M	Benchmark Subject
ALLT Allot Ltd.	D	50/100	118.0x	71.1%	3.0%	-2.29%	$437.4M	/allt-vs-ltrx →
SILC Silicom Ltd	E	31/100	—	30.6%	-11.8%	-20.04%	$202.9M	/silc-vs-ltrx →
ATEN A10 Networks Inc.	C	63/100	44.5x	79.3%	26.5%	-2.31%	$1.88B	/aten-vs-ltrx →
BOSC B.O.S. Better Online Solutions	B	73/100	8.6x	23.9%	12.9%	+0.69%	$30.9M	/bosc-vs-ltrx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001114925

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Lantronix Inc. (LTRX) reported GAAP revenue of $122.9M (-23.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $160.3M , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $7.3M, and free cash flow of $6.8M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LTRX closed FY2025 with $121.7M in total assets against $9.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$122.9M	-$11.4M	$7.3M	$6.8M	$121.7M	$9.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$160.3M	-$4.5M	$18.6M	$17.1M	$134.2M	$11.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$131.2M	-$9.0M	$237.0K	$237.0K	—	—

3. LTRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LTRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Lantronix Inc. (NASDAQ: LTRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.38 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $299.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LTRX ranks #470 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LTRX compare to ALLT and SILC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), LTRX carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, ALLT (Allot Ltd.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $437.4M) and SILC (Silicom Ltd) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $202.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTRX?

Per LTRX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001114925), Lantronix Inc. generated $122.9M in revenue (-23.3% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $6.8M in free cash flow against $121.7M in total assets and $9.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LTRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LTRX last traded at $6.38 (+1.27% on volume of 496,091 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.05) and +4.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.11). Across its 52-week range of $4.40 to $8.75, LTRX sits at the 45.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($5.72 to $7.04).